Bo Nix Passing Yards Total Prop Bet vs. Ravens

Bo Nix passing yard total Over/Under versus the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday Week 9 was listed at 218.5.

Nix completed 28-of-37 passes for 284 yards with three touchdowns in the Broncos’ 28-14, Week 8 win over the Panthers while adding four carries for five yards with a touchdown.

NBC Edge wrote of his performance:

"This was a strong game from Nix, and it could have been even better if his wide receivers had given him a little more help. A pair of long passes went off the fingers of Lil’Jordan Humphrey and Troy Franklin, and while they weren’t perfect throws, they were plays that should have been made by NFL receivers. Nevertheless, the rookie quarterback was able to connect on three scores, and he added a one-yard plunge to make it a sensational fantasy afternoon. Nix really struggled early on, but has gotten better — significantly — each week. He’ll take on a very beatable Ravens’ secondary in Week 9."

Nix completed 16-of-26 passes for 164 yards in the Broncos’ 33-10, Week 7 win over the Saints, adding 10 carries for 75 yards.

Line Analysis and Action

• Opening Line - Baltimore opened at -9.5
• Line Trend - The line has shifted between 9.5 and 9 all week.
• Sagarin Number -  Sagarin gives us a number of 4.45 for Baltimore, suggesting a pretty significant overlay here.
• Action - As a -9 point favorite, action was around 65% going towards Baltimore but the trend was moving below 60%.

Historic Comparables

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Betting Preview

Baltimore (5-3) is averaging an NFL-best 452 yards per game. Derrick Henry leads the league in rushing by a wide margin, and Jackson is No. 1 in passer rating. The Ravens have big-play threats and have been efficient in the red zone, scoring touchdowns on 25 of their 33 trips.

The Broncos (5-3) have held six of their eight opponents under 20 points, and they rank second in the league in sacks.

“Their guys are really active, they play hard. That’s one thing you see on film,” Ravens offensive coordinator Todd Monken said. “They’ve done a great job of building the core personalities of the players they’ve got playing on the field — I think that’s impressive, how hard they play and schematically how they challenge you with their pressure package.”