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The payout should the Jacksonville Jaguars somehow manage to beat the New England Patriots on the money line would be $315 for every $100 bet or $31.50 for every $10 bet.
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According to Alfie Crow of BigCatCountry.com, the Jags were "built to beat the Patriots".
They don't need to blitz, the interior pressure by the Jaguars is better than that of the Patriots, New England's receivers are mediocre at best, and the Jaguars offense is what should give New England fits.
On the later point:
The Patriots struggle against the run and the pass, but they do a nice job of limiting teams points. The Jaguars on the other hand shine when they’re in the redzone, especially quarterback Blake Bortles. The Jaguars also run the ball well, overall. I’m not going to pretend like I didn’t say a few weeks ago the Jaguars No. 1 rush offense was fraudulent, but in a game against the Patriots the way the Jaguars get their rushing yards is going to be a big key. The Jaguars will want Bortles to run, they’ll want to pound Leonard Fournette at New England and hit them with play action. Those are the things the Patriots have struggled with and when Bortles is “on” those are the areas the Jaguars can just dominate other teams.
Let's not forget that Patriots starting quarterback Tom Brady does have an injured hand. What impact that has on Sunday's AFC Championship game remains to be seen.
Recreational books were tending to hold more on the Patriots -8 compared to -7.5, and this makes sense as more action rolls in on the Patriots at a 63% clip.
The majority, however, are holding at -7.5 and this could be telling. This seems to indicate bookmakers have an opinion that Jacksonville could cover here. The NFL Betting Power Ratings suggest New England should be favored by 9 points so there is certainly some conflict here.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com
