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Fresno vs USC Game Prop Bets Week 3 College Football

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/17/2022

The Fresno State vs. USC game featured a line of Trojans -11 to -11.5 closing after opening at -13 most books. 

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The Bulldogs power rating was set at 72.20 and USC 82.93 with home field advantage of 2.42 tacked on.  We arrive at a magic number of 13.15, which was exactly where this one opened.  So we have a line that was on the money and now a 1.5 to 2 point underlay.  Underlays in this range performed remarkably well last week for the dogs in both College Football and the NFL.  The dogs also came through on accurate lines.

The 2-0 Trojans were red hot against Stanford last week, winning 41-28 and covering the spread. 

Caleb Williams threw for 341 yards and four touchdowns in the Pac-12 opener.

Williams completed 20 of 27 throws — 13 of his first 15.  There were plenty of player props for him this week.

"This series has been extremely one-sided over the last 15 years, especially here," USC head coach Lincoln Riley said. "We took that personal."

Fresno State comes into this game 1-1 following a loss to Oregon State last week, 32-35.

The Bulldogs are 6-1 Against The Spread in their last 7 vs. Pac-12.  The Trojans are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.

Our lean here is on Fresno State covering the +11.5 spread.

Fresno State vs. USC Player Prop Bets

Caleb Williams (BYU) Total Passing Yards

Over  300½  Passing Yards-115

Under  300½  Passing Yards-115

Must Start for action.

Caleb Williams (BYU) Total Interceptions

Over  ½  Interceptions-115

Under  ½  Interceptions-115

Must Start for action.

Travis Dye (USC) Total Rushing Yards

Over  93½  Rushing Yards-115

Under  93½  Rushing Yards-115

Must Play for action.

Travis Dye (USC) Total Receiving Yards

Over  18½  Receiving Yards-115

Under  18½  Receiving Yards-115

Must Play for action.

Mario Williams (USC) Total Receiving Yards

Over  58½  Receiving Yards-115

Under  58½  Receiving Yards-115

Margin of Victory and Double Result Prop Bets

Winning Margin

Fresno St to win by 1-6 pts    +650

Fresno St to win by 7-12 pts    +1400

Fresno St to win by 13-18 pts    +2200

Fresno St to win by 19-24 pts    +4500

Fresno St to win by 25-30 pts    +7500

Fresno St to win by 31-36 pts    +10000

Fresno St to win by 37-42 pts    +11000

Fresno St to win by 43 or more pts    +12500

USC to win by 1-6 pts    +400

USC to win by 7-12 pts    +475

USC to win by 13-18 pts    +475

USC to win by 19-24 pts    +600

USC to win by 25-30 pts    +850

USC to win by 31-36 pts    +1100

USC to win by 37-42 pts    +1800

USC to win by 43 or more pts    +1400

Double Result

Fresno St/Fresno St    +450

Fresno St/Tie    +4500

Fresno St/USC    +500

2038Tie/Fresno St    +3300

2039Tie/Tie    +5500

2040Tie/USC    +1600

2041USC/Fresno St    +1000

2042USC/Tie    +4500

2043USC/USC    -175

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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