The line on Arkansas should be -9 in their Round One game against Vermont. Instead, the Razorbacks are a -5 favorite and are a worthwhile play on the moneyline. Arkanas is priced at just -215. If you like Vermont on the moneyline, the payout is $185 on a $100 bet. The Hogs pay out $4500 on a $100 bet to win the Championship.
Arkansas
Record: 25-8, 13-5 SEC
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 40
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 16
Against The Spread: 20-13-0
Over Total: 20-13-0
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +4500
Vermont
Record: 28-5, 17-1 America East
KenPom adjusted offensive efficiency: 45
KenPom adjusted defensive efficiency: 74
Against The Spread: 19-13
Over Total: 18-14
Odds to win NCAA Championship: +50000
Vermont has been unable to parlay their American East dominance into NCAA success and going up against Arkansas could continue to stymie that goal.
In non-conference games this season the Razorbacks are 11-2 Straight Up. Since 2016 they have maintained a win percentage of 80.6% in non-conference games and as favorites.
Vermont has not won against ranked opponents. They are 0-12 Straight Up since 2003.
Arkansas is a fantastic pick at -215. We will pay that price.
- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com
