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Twins-Indians Series July 12-14 Betting Preview

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Jul/08/2019

With the start of the second half of the 2019 Major League Baseball season we are starting to get a grasp of how each team is coming together or otherwise unglued.  Two hot teams starting their series Friday July 12 are the Twins vs. Indians.  While both these teams are scoring plenty of runs, each are allowing the opposition to score more than three runs in most games. 

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The Cleveland Indians enter the second half of the 2019 season topping the rankings for best relief pitchers, and it shows in their improved 50-38 record in which they won eight straight leading into the All Star Break.

Unfortunately they will take on the red hot Twins to start the season.  We should see competitive lines for each game.

The Indians have won ten of the last fifteen versus Minnesota.  Three of the Twins victories were on the road. Cleveland is 7-3 at Home in their last ten games versus the Twins.

The Indians had scored 5 or more runs in eight of their last ten games heading into the All Star Break but they have permitted three or fewer runs in ten of their last thirteen.  Because the Indians have been scoring so much, only five of their last thirteen games have failed to score a total in double digit runs.

The Twins have only allowed four or more runs in 20 of their last 24 games.

Only three of the last seventeen games between these two teams have resulted in OVER 9 runs.  Only one of the games that went OVER 9 featured a total higher than that number.  Eight of these seventeen games featured totals of nine or more.

The Twins ranked 12 in terms of relief pitchers combined ERA.

Trevor Bauer

Bauer will be entering his game having won three straight after a no-decision against the Tigers on June 21.  It's possible to continue riding Bauer but would be a better scenario to get him off a no-decision and especially a loss.

Mike Clevinger

Games he has started in that Cleveland won have stayed at 8 or fewer runs while Cleveland has allowed no more than three runs.  The two games the Indians lost with him as a starter resulted in the opposition scoring 7 and 13 runs, respectively.

Jose Berrios

Berrios, considered the Twins best starting pitcher at the moment, has not had a win in his last five starts.  The Twins have given up 6 and 7 runs in his last two starts.  However, they have not allowed an opponent to score more than four runs in six of his last nine starts. Berrios is due for a good outing. Depending on who he faces, a WIN and the UNDER should be considered for Berrios next start following a review of the line and total movement.

Shane Bieber

Bieber got off to a rough start by allowing a two-run homer to Yasiel Puig in the first. After that, it was smooth sailing for the 2019 All-Star, and he didn't allow another run for the rest of the game. He didn't walk anyone, and his K/BB ratio now sits at 141/23 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. A very strong first half for Bieber, and his stuff/command should allow him to be strong after the break, as well.

The Indians have only allowed the opposing team to score four or more runs with Bieber starting in three of the last ten games.

Marwin Gonzalez and Miguel Sano have hit well against him.  Sano has been hitting .364 so far this month. Gonzalez has also been hot the days leading up to the All Star Break. 

Bieber is coming off of two good starts.

Corey Cluber

He is coming off the injury list so caution should be exercised here.

Jake Odorizzi

He is coming off the injury list so caution should be exercised here.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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