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Oregon vs. UGA Week 1 Game Spread

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Aug/16/2022

Oregon vs. Georgia is one of the most highly anticipated games of Week 1 with major consequences for both teams with Georgia coming in as the -17.5 favoriteThe Sagarin Rating for Georgia (1) 99.62 and Oregon (26) 79.96   These were the closing ratings for 2021 so adjustments will need to be made.  This gives us a line of UGA -21.6 after adjusting for the home field advantage.

What is the Head to Head Record Between Oregon and Georgia?

These teams will be meeting for the first time since 1977.  Georgia won back then 27-16.

What is the Head to Head Record SEC vs. PAC 12

This is a critical historic trend: Since 2000, the SEC is 12-13 against Pac-12 teams. The SEC has won seven of its past 10 meetings against the Pac-12, though five of those SEC wins were decided by eight points or less.

What is the Payout if Oregon Wins Outright vs. Georgia?

The payout would be around $600 for every $100 bet on the moneyline should the Ducks beat the Bulldogs.

Will I Be Able to Bet This Game From Georgia, Oregon?

From both states you can bet this game online with BetOnline.  Be sure to claim your welcome bonus up to $1000.  18 and up are welcome.

Oregon's one sports betting site overseen by that state's lottery and operated by DraftKings does NOT allow betting on college football.  Its land-based casino sportsbook DOES.

Important Trends: Oregon vs. UGA Week 1 Game

  • Ducks are 6-13 Against The Spread in their last 19 games overall.
  • In non-conference games, Oregon is 6-11 Against The Spread since 2017.
  • As an away underdog, Oregon is 3-6 since 2017.
  • Oregon's most recent games as a double digit dog were a cover at +6.5 versus Utah (Ducks won outright), +17.5 vs. Washington (Ducks failed to cover), +6 vs. UCLA (failed to cover), +9.5 vs. Stanford (failed to cover).
  • Ducks are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games in September.

Oregon vs. Georgia Betting Action and Line Movement

75% of the early cash was on Oregon while better than 50% of the tickets were on UGA, thus the Ducks were seeing closer to 35% of tickets.

From Sports Insights:

"Historically, the sweet spot for fading the public has come at the 75% threshold. Since 2005, teams receiving less than 25% of spread tickets have gone 1,528-1,432 ATS (51.6%) when the number of bets on the game is at least the daily average and 416-363 ATS (53.4%) when the number of bets is at least twice the daily average."

Pretty much everyone was on the Georgia -17.5 as of Mid-August.  Some books opened the number as high as -18.5.

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Oregon Ducks Preview

The Ducks are the vastly improved team of the two this year.  Oregon is a big favorite to win OVER 8.5 regular season games with the books counting Week 1 among the losses.   This was the only game pundits felt the Ducks would be listed as the underdog in the 2022 regular season.

Zachary Neel of the DucksWire says we should not be so quick to overlook the offensive line.

"One of the most valuable position groups on the field, Oregon has a real strength on the line this season, returning a handful of starters from last season and bringing in some talented young pieces as well. Though there have been a couple of injuries to monitor — T.J. Bass and Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu have missed time during fall camp — the Ducks look largely healthy and ready to go for the start of the season."

Georgia Bulldogs Preview

Though these Bulldogs will still be competing for a championship, they'll likely take a bit of a step back this season due to player losses.  The reigning champs opened the 2022 season with the third shortest odds to repeat after Alabama and Ohio State.

Most of the losses were on the defense, but it should still be solid enough to contain opponents.

Jalen Carter, arguably the most talented defender on the 2021 squad, does return.

QB Stetson Bennett, Sr. is back after taking Georgia to the national title game and winning.

Likely Result

With Oregon likely to see a significant improvement and Georgia losing some starters from last season, Gambling911.com sees the posted line favoring Oregon much more in terms of the ability to cover.  It's easy to shave off a good 6 points from the line we would have arrived at last year to close the season (-21.6), and this puts us closer to Georgia -15.  Then factor in the close games between the SEC and PAC 12, do take Oregon +17.5 here

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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