NFL Betting – Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

The Houston Texans return to the scene of the crime to kickoff the 2020 season, and they’re hoping things turn out differently. When the Texans met the Kansas City Chiefs in last season’s divisional round playoff game they jumped out to a 24-0 lead only to watch it slip away in an eventual 51-31 loss. The Chiefs used that as a springboard to collect the second Super Bowl title in franchise history and the first as a member of the NFL. KC returns a good chunk of its roster from last season and Patrick Mahomes has been lights out. That’s a big reason why the Chiefs opened as a double-digit favorite, though the number was wagered down.  Bookmaker (in business since 1986) is offering a generous welcome bonus (max bonus $1000)

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
Date and Time: Thursday, September 10, 2020, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Opening NFL Odds: Kansas City -10, O/U 54
Texans at Chiefs TV Coverage: NBC

Odds Analysis

As with pretty much everything this year the NFL is entering unchartered waters due to COVID. Teams jump right into the season with no exhibition games and a softened training camp, along with all the protocols in place to make sure everything goes smoothly. This game should have been a celebration for the Chiefs and their fans instead it’s a COVID experiment. That doesn’t make it less exciting since it is football. The Texans need to see if they’ve closed the gap with the Chiefs in the AFC. The Texans are getting some support from the public with the line being wagered from KC -10 to -9. Also keep in mind that Houston won the regular season meeting in Arrowhead last October, 31-24, with both games going over the closing total.

Houston Texans

That debacle back in January will be on the minds of the Texans. Jumping out to a 24-0 lead in the first half seemingly had them on their way to the franchise’s first championship game. Maybe they got ahead of themselves, which isn’t wise against any opponent and especially against one with Mahomes. The Texans were outscored 51-7 the rest of the way.

Under Jim O’Brien the Texans have been good putting together five winning campaigns in his first six years and posting double-digit victories in each of the last two. They just haven’t been as good as other AFC teams. Maybe that’s why O’Brien pulled the trigger on a deal that sent All Pro receiver DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals. The offense won’t look the same with Hopkins and leading rusher Carlos Hyde gone. Instead we’ll see Brandin Cooks and Randall Cobb as part of the revamped receiving corps with David Johnson sharing the backfield with Duke Johnson.

A lack of preseason games and practice time could play a role in how effective the offense is. Deshaun Watson is there to make sure things go well. Watson was rewarded for his outstanding play with a lucrative contract extension, the second largest in the league to his counterpart Mahomes. Houston needs to effectively use Johnson & Johnson to churn out the yards and control the clock to keep the ball away from the Chiefs’ explosive offense.


Kansas City Chiefs

What else can Mahomes do? He was the league’s MVP in 2018 and won a Super Bowl last season. Now he’s one of the richest human beings on the planet. Is there motivation to keep going? If you listen to Mahomes and Andy Reid there certainly is. And most of the gang from the NFL’s fifth-ranked scoring offense is back in the mix. Mahomes didn’t match his production from 2018 and he missed a few games with a knee injury. But the team showed how explosive it can be during the playoffs overcoming deficits in every game to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.

The top four pass catchers from a season ago are back led by Travis Kelce, who caught 97 passes for 1,229 yards. Speedy Tyreek Hill averaged nearly 15 yards on his 58 grabs and Sammy Watkins took a pay cut to return after snagging 52 passes a season ago. Leading rusher Damien Williams opted out opening the door for rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who’s a perfect fit for the offense.

The Chiefs struggled defensively for most of the season, but picked it up towards the end and in the postseason to help fuel the run. They weren’t very good against the run allowing more than 128 rush yards per game to finish 26th overall. That could be a problem against the Texans, who are likely to use the ground game to their advantage.

Bet Texans at Chiefs at BookMaker.eu

We saw the teams put up a lot of points in two games last year cashing the over both times. This one is a little different – actually it’s a lot different – and I can’t imagine the offenses operating at a high level with little preparation. Defenders react and there’s enough talent on both sides to make things difficult. The Chiefs didn’t have to deal with J.J. Watt in the playoff game; he’s back to help a group that looks better. The spread is large and the total high, so you know where I’m going.

NFL Score Prediction: Kansas City 27, Houston 20

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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