NBA Betting – Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets Game 4

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

The Los Angeles Clippers can take command of their Western Conference semifinal series with the Denver Nuggets and move closer to their first appearance in a conference final when the clubs meet in Game 4 on Wednesday. The Clips overcame a fourth-quarter deficit to take a 2-1 series lead with a 113-107 win in Game 3. Paul George woke from his slumber to drop 32 and Kawhi Leonard gave Jamal Murray the finger with a spectacular block at the rim late in the game. This series is far from over, though, with the Nuggets showing they can overcome a series deficit. Denver won its first-round series over Utah in seven games by taking the final three. The Clippers hit the board as an 8-point favorite on the NBA betting line.  Bookmaker.eu is offering a generous welcome bonus (max bonus of $1000).

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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Denver Nuggets
Date and Time: Wednesday, September 9, 2020, 9 p.m. ET
Location: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex, Lake Buena Vista, FL
Opening NBA Odds: Clippers -8 / OU 220.5
Clippers vs. Nuggets TV Coverage: ESPN

Odds Analysis

The teams were separated by only three wins during the regular season so you’d expect the games to be close. That hasn’t necessarily been the case with the Game 3 margin of six points the smallest in the season series. That’s good news for backers of the Nuggets, who covered the 8.5-point line on Monday and also won outright as a 9-point dog in Game 2. The opening line for Game 4 hit the board at Clippers -8. LA has won four of the last five games between the clubs with defense helping to cash the under in the last three. You typically see more intensity on the defensive end in the playoffs and that’s been the case in this series. The Game 4 total opened at 220.5, the same as the Game 3 closing number when the teams combined for 220 points.

Los Angeles Clippers

There’s a reason why the Clippers got Leonard and George. In the entire existence of the franchise, dating back to Buffalo and San Diego, the team has never sniffed a championship series and only on a few occasions did they get close to a conference final. Well, here we are, a team with two superstars and a stacked bench is on the verge of doing something Ernie DiGregorio, Bob McAdoo, Swen Nater and World B. Free never did. They aren’t there yet, but somehow I doubt they’ll lose focus.

It’s been a bit of a rocky series and playoffs for George, who struggled against the Mavs when the bubble got the best of him. He snapped out of it in Game 5 of that series to score 35 points. He has yet to put two strong games together like we know he can, but his performance in Game 3 might be the start. George had 32 points on 12 of 18 shooting, including 5 of 7 three-pointers. He was just 13 of 32 in the first two games.

Leonard also snapped back from a poor performance in Game 2 when he shot 4 of 17 by scoring 23 points with 14 rebounds and six assists. When both those guys struggle the Clippers are beatable. When one shows up the task is more difficult. When both play the way they are capable of it’s a win. And don’t forget about the bench. Lou Williams added a clutch bucket late and Montrezl Harrel chipped in 11 points.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets know they can play with the Clippers. They also know they can come back from a series deficit, so there isn’t a lot of concern on their side. What is concerning, however, is the play of Murray. After dropping 50, 42 and 50 on Utah in consecutive games, the offense has gone AWOL. He’s scored 17 or fewer in three of the last four games shooting just 36.5 percent from the floor.

Murray had 14 points on 5 of 17 shooting in Game 3. In the series he’s hit on 37.7 percent of his shots and is 7 of 23 from three-point range. “Jamal had some wide-open looks, and I could tell he was starting to get down on himself. I’m just trying to uplift him. We’re going nowhere without Jamal Murray and his offense, and I know he’ll be better in Game 4,” coach Michael Malone said.

The Nuggets don’t have to worry about Nikola Jokic. But the Clippers do. The big man was brilliant in Game 3 finishing with 32 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists. He was a handful for LA’s bigs with Harrel, JaMychal Green and Ivica Zubac all picking up early fouls. Despite that the Nuggets were outscored 20-8 at the stripe, proving to be the difference in the game.

Bet Clippers vs. Nuggets at BookMaker.eu

We’re only three games in and the series has gone back and forth with both teams dishing out and taking blows. The Clippers were the hungrier team down the stretch in Game 3 making defensive adjustments. Now it’s Denver’s turn. I’m not sure they can do it, though. Leonard and George working together is too much for any team and LA’s depth will play a role. The games have been close so I’ll back the Nuggets and the points, but the Clips are focused on what’s next.

NBA Score Prediction: Clippers 110, Nuggets 104

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- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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