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Mariners vs. Yankees Betting Trends, Free Pick - May 8

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
May/08/2019
  • Yankees 9-1 vs. Mariners in last ten and can be gotten for -136

  • A well-rested Kikuchi turned in a dominant performance his last time out at Cleveland on Friday, registering a career-high 10 strikeouts

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The Yankees are 9-1 versus a Mariners team that is imploding after a terrific start to the season, having won only two of their last ten games overall.

New York has terrific value here at -136, Seattle is at +146 and the total is coming in at 9.

The line movement is not indicating any opinion though we certainly see "sucker" written all over this one on the surface.   The Yankees, however, are only seeing 55% of the consensus picks.

The low price is a reflection of Yusei Kikuchi starting for Seattle.  Kikuchi has pitched well and owns a 3.98 ERA whereas the Yankees will call upon Loaisiga from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.  Whether the Yankees should be priced this high at -136 with Loaisigaf acing Kikuchi can be seen as questionable.   The Yankees bullpen ranks in the top 10 whereas the Mariners ranks in the lower ten. Kikuchi has not pitched as well on the road

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners LH Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 3.98 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Jonathan Loaisiga (1-0, 2.70)

A well-rested Kikuchi turned in a dominant performance his last time out at Cleveland on Friday, registering a career-high 10 strikeouts while limiting the Indians to one run on three hits over seven innings. The 27-year-old pitched a scoreless innings in his previous outing that was preceded by five consecutive starts in which he gave up at least three runs. Kikuchi has made five of his eight starts on the road, where he is allowing opposing hitters a .266 batting average against as opposed to a .196 mark in his three home outings.

Loaisiga will be summoned from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre to take the place of left-hander James Paxton and he will make his fourth appearance and third start this season for New York. The team's top pitching prospect, the 24-year-old Nicaraguan tossed three scoreless innings of two-hit ball to pick up the win at the Los Angeles Angels on April 24 and allowed a combined three runs over seven innings in his previous two starts. Loaisiga faced the Mariners last June in his second career start and gave up three runs in 3 2/3 innings.

The Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Because the Mariners are 0-7 in the last 7 meetings in New York, Kikuchi is coming off a dominant performance and is not as sharp on the road, and the Yankees do have a solid enough bullpen, we will ride the relatively untested Loaisiga even at Yankees -136.

The Yankees have also been able to score 5 or more runs in six of their last ten games overall.  Seattle has been able to do this on three occasions over that time span.

Books are moving this total down from 9.5 to 9, an indication they believe this one might stay UNDER.

Again we will be taking the Yankees here -136.

2019 MLB Record: 9-5-1 (64.2%)

2018-19 College Basketball Record: 12-9 (57.1%)

2018-19 NBA Record: 7-4 (63.4%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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