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MLB Futures – Boston Red Sox 2020 World Series Odds

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:
Mar/17/2020


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The Boston Red Sox ended an 85-year World Series drought by claiming the title in 2004. They’ve since won three more championships, the last coming just two years ago. The Sox slipped to third in the AL East last season and missed the playoffs. An offseason of change has unraveled sending their 2020 World Series odds plummeting. Trading Mookie Betts and David Price was a bold move and the ramifications of a sign-stealing controversy cost Alex Cora his job. There is plenty of uncertainty surrounding the Sox heading into the season, but they have talent to contend for a wild card and getting into the postseason is all you need.

2020 Boston Red Sox World Series Odds at BookMaker.eu

Boston Red Sox +4200

2020 Boston Red Sox Overview

There is change from top to bottom in the organization. New GM Chaim Bloom takes over leadership of the front office. Ron Roenicke assumes managerial responsibilities after Cora was sent packing for his involvement with the Astros’ indiscretions, and two of the more popular players were sent packing to the West Coast.

We all know baseball is a business. The Sox were shelling out a lot of bills for the current lineup and it was costing them. For the overall financial well-being of the organization something had to give. And that was Betts. Pitching is definitely the team’s weak link entering the season. Dealing one of the most productive offensive players and 2018 AL MVP doesn’t make a lot of sense when the team needs to score a bunch of runs to win games.

The Sox appear to be the third best team in the AL East behind the Yankees and Tampa Bay. And they better look out for the Blue Jays. Getting Chris Sale back healthy is a key for the Sox chances. If the lefty makes a triumphant return Boston is a steal at their price. That’s a big if, though.

Pitching

With a 4.70 staff ERA last season the Sox were below average. They need to work on finding a rotation now that Price and Rick Porcello are no longer around, and Sale could miss time after experiencing discomfort in his elbow. When peeling away the layers the loss of those three shouldn’t have a great impact. Only 44 percent of the trio’s starts were quality outings and they each had an ERA over 4.25.

Eduardo Rodriguez is the No. 1 starter after posting a 19-6 record with a 3.81 ERA across 203.1 innings. After him the club needs to catch lightning in a bottle. Nathan Eovaldi is being counted on as a top of the rotation guy. He struggled with injuries last season and threw just 67.2 innings with a 5.99 ERA.

Coming off his worst season in the Majors, Sale is a key to the staff barring any additions. The good news is that he’s not expected to have Tommy John surgery. The bad news is that the elbow continues to bother him. Delaying the start of the season will benefit the lefty, coming off a career-worst 4.40 ERA. Former 19-game winner Colin McHugh could solidify the rotation. He was relegated to the Astros’ bullpen the last two years and looks to regain form.

The bullpen had issues last season with a league-high 31 blown saves. Closer Brandon Workman was the only consistent option going 10-1 with 16 saves and a 1.88 ERA. More consistency from the rest of the relievers is needed for the Sox to be a serious playoff threat.

Hitting

As a team the Sox hit .269 and belted 246 home runs in 2019. The loss of Betts, who hit .295 with 29 dingers, will impact the production. But there is still plenty of pop in the lineup. Career years from Xander Bogaerts and Rafael Devers helped the Sox average 5.6 runs per game, fourth-best in MLB. Those two need to at least replicate their 2019 numbers to make up for the loss of Betts.

Alex Verdugo was a key piece in the Mookie trade and is slotted to take over in right field. In 106 games with the NL West champs, Verdugo hit .294 with 12 homers, 44 RBIs and an .817 OPS.

A bounce back season from Andrew Benintendi will certainly help the offense and AB’s confidence. He slumped to a career-low .266 average in 2019 with 13 home runs. Another productive season out of J.D. Martinez will take some pressure off the younger guys to produce. Martinez hit .304 with 36 homers and 105 RBIs last season. Along with Bogaerts and Devers the trio each hit over .300 with at least 30 homers and 100 RBIs. Only four other players in the entire league put up those numbers in 2019.

2020 Boston Red Sox World Series Pick

Offense isn’t going to be a problem for the Sox. The loss of Betts will be felt, but Verdugo is a solid player and should thrive in a full-time role. Getting production close to what Devers, Martinez and Bogaerts had last season will keep them in a lot of games. There was no impact addition to an already suspect pitching staff. The Sox will play a lot of high scoring games and come out on the short end more times than not. I don’t see this club reaching the postseason in 2020.

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