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Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens NFL Week 2 Odds

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:
Sep/17/2021

It’s been six years since the Baltimore Ravens last opened a season with a loss and the club is hoping history doesn’t repeat itself. The 2015 Ravens lost their first three games ending the year with just five victories. It was the only time in John Harbaugh’s tenure the team finished below .500. Injuries dominated the headlines with Baltimore losing a number of players before taking the field last week. However, a pair of costly turnovers by their MVP quarterback proved costly. The Ravens look to rebound with a difficult test on Sunday Night Football hosting the two-time defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs.

Kansas City Chiefs at Baltimore Ravens
Date and Time: Sunday, September 19, 2021, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: MT Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Opening NFL Odds: Kansas City -3.5, O/U 54.5
Chiefs at Ravens TV Coverage: NBC

Odds Analysis

Despite the rash of injuries that took out nearly the entire running back group and put star defensive back Marcus Peters on the shelf, the Ravens closed as a field goal favorite last week against Vegas. Things looked good early with a 14-0 lead, but the usually strong defense cratered in the second half and the visitors succumbed in overtime. Getting that first W isn’t going to be easy with the Ravens positioned as a 3.5-point home dog. Action on KC initiated a full point spike on the line with KC wagered from -2.5 to the current number. KC overcame a 22-10 deficit to knock off Cleveland 33-29 but they failed to cover the 5.5-point line leaving them 2-10 ATS in their previous 12 games. With two gifted QBs oddsmakers expect plenty of points with the total at 54.5, the second-highest on the Week 2 board.

Kansas City Chiefs

Winning close games was a trademark of the Chiefs last season. Nine of their games were decided by six points or less and KC prevailed in every one. They weren’t as good to their backers though going just 1-8 ATS in those games. That trend continued last week with a comeback win over Cleveland, though they again failed to cover the spread. Dating back to last season and including the playoffs the Chiefs are 10-2 SU and 2-10 ATS.

Winning games is what matters and the Chiefs have done that better than any team since Mahomes took over. He’s 39-8 in his regular season starts with half those defeats coming during his 2018 MVP season. And he’s never lost to the Ravens in three tries. In fact, Mahomes has been at his best against one of the top defenses in the AFC. Mahomes completed 31 of 42 passes for 385 yards and four touchdowns in the Chiefs 34-20 road win last season and has thrown for 1,136 yards and nine scores while completing over 70 percent of his passes.

The defense looked vulnerable last week giving up 457 total yards and 22 first half points. The group tightened up in the second half allowing for the big comeback with a pair of takeaways and a turnover on downs. And the Chiefs could have a few key pieces back on Sunday. Tyrann Mathieu was activated off the COVID list and Frank Clark is probable recovering from a hamstring injury.

Baltimore Ravens

Even with their depleted backfield the Ravens were able to run for 189 yards while amassing over 400 total yards against Vegas. Lamar Jackson did what he does best running for 86 yards, but a lot of those yards came when he was forced out of the pocket and not on designed plays. The line had a hard time containing the Raiders pass rush putting added pressure on Jackson, who threw for 235 yards but was sacked three times and never looked comfortable.

Mistakes proved to be costly in the setback. Jackson lost a pair of fumbles that led to Vegas touchdowns, including the game-winner in overtime. And the Ravens converted just 3 of 12 third downs. Ideally they would like to extend drives and not give Mahomes and the Chiefs additional possessions. But they also need to stop the KC offense and will have to step it up after last week.

Derek Carr is a decent quarterback, but he’s no Mahomes. Allowing the Raiders signal-caller to throw for 435 yards was glaring, though it took him 56 attempts. Tight end Darren Waller was targeted 19 times with 10 receptions for 105 yards and a TD. That effort doesn’t instill a lot of confidence with the NFL’s best tight end Travis Kelce up next.

Bet Chiefs at Ravens at BookMaker.eu

Both defenses looked susceptible last week. The Ravens allowed seven pass plays of 20 yards or more and now face one of the best passing attacks in the league. I’m sure they make the proper adjustments, but points are on the field leading me to back the OVER despite the number being up there.

NFL Score Prediction: Chiefs 31, Ravens 27

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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