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Free MLB Pick Tuesday June 28

Written by:
Mary Montgomery
Published on:
Jun/25/2022

San Diego is 9-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks in their last eleven meetings.  Better still they start Sean Manaea, who has just one win over his last seven starts, all the rest of which were no-decisions. 

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Manaea is 3-3 with a 3.87 ERA.  But get this: He's 0.99 versus Arizona batters, allowing just 10 hits in 64 at bats.  Only one of those was a home run from Jordan Luplow, who's got 10 home runs on the season thus far but is averaging a .164 ERA. 

San Diego is playing well this season.  They owned a 45-28 record whereas Arizona is eight games under the .500 mark.  The Padres also have a top ten bullpen.

The Diamondbacks start Zac Gallen.  He has a 4-2 record with a 2.92 ERA.  That's better than Manaea.  Because San Diego is playing on the road, we will get a decent price here.

Gallen's pitched well versus San Diego batters (.237, 21 of 71 at bats).  He's allowed five home runs.

Gallen also hasn't had a win in his last four so we anticipate him pitching in desperation mode here.

The Under is 5-2 in the last seven games of this series.

Padres a strong play and the Under if 8.5 or greater as a smaller player here.

Why We Like the Padres

  • Sean Manaea desperate for a win
  • Manaea is 0.99 versus Arizona batters
  • San Diego is 9-2 against the Diamondbacks over the last 11 meetings
  • San Diego has one of the better bullpens currently
  • Manaea is capable of going 7 innings as he has done so in three of his last seven

What Worries Us

  • Zac Gallen desperate for a win
  • Gallen has pitched pretty good against Padres batters

- Mary Montgomery, Gambling911.com

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