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Betting Alert: FSU vs. Louisville Prop Bets September 16

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Sep/16/2022

Florida State was hovering between a -2.5 and 3.5 road favorite against Louisville, settling in at 2.5 across the board.  Florida State's power rating was coming in at 77.31, Louisville was at 74.83 and gets an additional 2.42 tacked on for home field advantage, arriving at a magic number of 0.06, near dead even with that tiny lean going FSU's way.  But we are seeing a 2.5 to 3.5 overlayLast week's two overlays in this range saw favorites cover.

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FSU comes into this game well-rested following a Week 1 sneaky victory past a worthy opponent in LSU while Louisville comes off a shock road victory against a UCF team that only lost once at home since 2017.

Louisville will also be seeking its first Atlantic Coast Conference win two weeks after losing at Syracuse in the opener.  The Cardinals QB Malik Cunningham rebounded from a rough outing at Syracuse with 313 yards from scrimmage at UCF.  He also had a 43-yard touchdown run.  Cunningham faces a Seminoles unit that returned every defensive backfield starter.  The Seminoles rank second in the ACC in pass defense, allowing 140 yards per game.

Another key player for the Cardinals: S Kenderick Duncan posted a career-best 13 tackles with 10 solos at UCF and is one of the Cardinals’ best defenders. 

And then there is Marshon Ford.  The Cardinals tight end has caught a pass in 26 consecutive games.

Seminoles QB Jordan Travis had a 260-yard, two-TD, sack-free outing versus LSU in Week 1.

The Seminoles are allowing an ACC-low 0.50 sacks per game, which is tied for 14th nationally. 

71% to 75% of the early action was coming in on the Seminoles.  Our lean on this game is Florida State -2.5.

FSU vs. Louisville Prop Bets

First To Score

Florida St    -120

Louisville    -110

First Score of the Game

Touchdown    -325

Field Goal    +230

Any Other    +4000

Winning Margin

Florida St to win by 1-6 pts    +330

Florida St to win by 7-12 pts    +600

Florida St to win by 13-18 pts    +800

Florida St to win by 19-24 pts    +1200

Florida St to win by 25-30 pts    +2000

Florida St to win by 31-36 pts    +3000

Florida St to win by 37-42 pts    +4500

Florida St to win by 43 or more pts    +5000

Louisville to win by 1-6 pts    +350

Louisville to win by 7-12 pts    +600

Louisville to win by 13-18 pts    +900

Louisville to win by 19-24 pts    +1600

Louisville to win by 25-30 pts    +2200

Louisville to win by 31-36 pts    +3500

Louisville to win by 37-42 pts    +5000

Louisville to win by 43 or more pts    +6000

Double Result

Florida St/Florida St    +135

Florida St/Tie    +3500

Florida St/Louisville    +650

Tie/Florida St    +1400

Tie/Tie    +3500

Tie/Louisville    +1600

Louisville/Florida St    +650

Louisville/Tie    +4000

Louisville/Louisville    +210

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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