College Football – 2019 Week 3 Wise Guy Picks

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

With a couple of games in the books we can better assess most college football teams, and that gives those making wagers a better chance of cashing a winning ticket. A number of high profile programs got their body bag games out of the way moving on to stiffer competition.

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And the wise guys are working feverishly on handicapping the Week 3 games. Offshore sportsbooks pay closer attention to wise guys than they do the average bettor. Wise guys can influence a betting line in any sport, and when they do make a wager the books are watching.

We followed some wise guy picks last week and sure enough those three teams came through to cover the spread. It didn’t look good in the first half for Penn State, though. With the closing line pushed to PSU -31.5 it took a monstrous second half for the Nittany Lions to cover. Trailing 10-7 at the break, PSU scored 28 points in the third and outscored Buffalo 38-3 in the second half to narrowly cover with a 45-13 victory. We also saw some sharp action on North Carolina and the Tar Heels won outright as a 5-point dog against Miami.

The Week 3 schedule isn’t nearly as delectable but there are betting opportunities all over the place. Wise guys like to go big and that means betting on marquee matchups. There are no top-25 tilts this week, but 23 ranked teams are in action. Let’s take a look at a few games on the Week 3 schedule where the sharps have impacted the line. And remember, BookMaker will have spreads and totals for every FBS matchup during the 2019 season. Visit BookMaker.eu when you’re ready to throw down on your favorite college football team.

College Football Week 3 Wise Guy Picks

Ohio State ( -17 ) at Indiana, Saturday, September 14, 12 p.m. ET

Like I said before, squares don’t typically move the line when it comes to wagering, so major movement on the spread means something else is at play. And that always involves wise guys messing with the line. Ohio State opened -13.5 for its game with Indiana, and with over 70 percent of the public backing the Buckeyes some movement might be expected. But to see the line increase to -17 isn’t normal.

The sharps and squares seem to be in agreement on this one. Ohio State lambasted what was thought to be a decent Cincinnati squad last week with Justin Fields having another big day. The Georgia transfer had a pair of scoring passes and ran for two more giving him nine total touchdowns in two games. Indiana pitched a shutout last week, but blanking FCS Eastern Illinois is much different than stopping Ohio State’s machine.

Stanford at UCF ( -7.5 ), Saturday, September 14, 3:30 p.m. ET

Sharps jumped on this one early gobbling up UCF -6 on the opening line. Apparently there still is a Power 5 bias and the public is buying it with over 60 percent of the action on the visitors. That could have something to do with the Cardinal getting their starting quarterback K.J. Costello cleared to play. He missed last week’s game, but it didn’t really matter. Stanford was whacked by USC, 45-20. The Cardinal certainly aren’t as bad as the score indicates and a better effort with Costello on the field is expected.

While Stanford is hoping it has a QB for Saturday’s game the Knights have two, and they are probably more explosive than USC. The Cardinal is in for another defensive challenge against a team that scores 30 points in its sleep. Be it Brandon Wimbush or Dillon Gabriel under center, UCF is electric. The Knights are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 home games scoring at least 50 points in half those games. Stanford’s cross country trip will be a bear, as will the opponent, which is why sharps forced a spike in the spread.

Oklahoma ( -23 ) at UCLA, Saturday, September 14, 8 p.m. ET

UCLA fans are losing faith in Chip Kelly, but apparently the betting public isn’t. The Bruins host Oklahoma on Saturday opening +19 on the college football betting line. Even after losing to San Diego State last week, the Bruins were getting a majority of the early action. Kelly might end up turning the program around, and he’s confident the team is headed in the right direction. However, winning games is the only thing that matters and the Bruins are just 3-11 straight up and 5-8-1 against the line in Kelly’s tenure.

The Sooners are still waiting to get tested and this might be the game. They hit the road for the first time this season against a Power 5 school. They took care of Houston and South Dakota easily and the offense looks sharp behind Jalen Hurts. OU’s defense has been pretty good early on and the wise guys are backing the Sooners, pushing the spread to OU -23.

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com Special Contributor (article provided by Bookmaker.eu)

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