Boise State vs. FSU Free Pick

Written by:
Ean Lamb
Published on:

Gambling911.com is big on Boise State +7 Saturday versus Florida State and we will be on the Broncos this Saturday.  The number has mostly sat at -6.5 despite the heavy lopsided action coming in on FSU at an 85% clip.

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Here is why the Broncos could prove dangerous, according to - no less - Seminoles.com:

Despite their lack of historical pedigree – they’ve only been in the bowl subdivision since 1996 –and their remote location, the Broncos have a notorious reputation for beating college football’s heavyweights. They famously shocked Oklahoma in the 2007 Fiesta Bowl, but the program’s resume also includes victories over Georgia, Oregon, TCU, Virginia Tech, Washington and Arizona, among others.

Boise State is 15-9 against “power five” opponents since 2006, and, since 2000, has won as many games as anyone in college football. The Broncos’ 207 wins in that span are matched only by Oklahoma.

“We’re expecting a really good football team to come in here and kind of do what Boise’s known for doing: knocking off ‘power five’ schools,’” Taggart said.

“They’re a winning football program. They understand what it takes to win, they understand how to play the game and they’re very well-coached. We all know what we’re up against.”

ABOUT BOISE STATE (2018: 10-3): Bachmeier has huge shoes to fill as Rypien, the 2018 Mountain West Offensive Player of the Year, left school as the conference's all-time leader in passing yards (13,581), completions (1,036) and 300-yard games (21). Head coach Bryan Harsin was also left with a void at running back with the early departure of Alexander Mattison (1,415 yards, 17 touchdowns in 2018), but the return of all five starting offensive linemen figures to help junior Robert Mahone or sophomore Andrew Van Buren extend the school's streak of seasons with a 1,000-yard rusher to 11. While the offense expects to suffer growing pains, a stout, aggressive defense (212 sacks the last six seasons) that features six players on preseason watch lists, led by outside linebacker Curtis Weaver, will keep the Broncos in games.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (5-7): It's finally Blackman's time at quarterback and he threw for 2,230 yards and 19 touchdowns with 11 interceptions as the starter in 2017, adding 510 yards passing and five touchdowns a year ago as the backup to Francois. He will have plenty of weapons at his disposal, including junior running back Cam Akers, who broke the school freshman rushing record in 2017 with 1,024 yards but slipped to 706 yards and six scores last season, and big-play receiver Tamorrion Terry, who set the team freshman receiving record a year ago with 744 yards to go with his team-high eight receiving touchdowns, fourth among all receivers in the ACC. Defense is usually a strength for Florida State and the talent is there despite the loss of first-round pick Brian Burns (defensive end), but last year's unit underperformed, surrendering 31.5 points and 416.3 yards per game.

- Ean Lamb, Gambling911.com

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