Nevada Odds to Win US Presidential Election - Clinton 5 Point Edge
Conflicting poll information on Nevada with some polls offering up GOP nominee Donald Trump as the slight favorite but early voting numbers indicate a much higher than expected turnout for the Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton while betting markets have her firmly entrenched as a 5 point or -500 favorite to win the Silver State.
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76 percent of those who have been on Nevada worldwide are backing the Democratic candidate.
Democrats are up 6 percentage points among early voters with the increase in Latino earlier voters jumping significantly since 2012. It should also be noted that the majority of those voting in Nevada do so early. In 2012, 70 percent of the total votes were cast early.
Still it can be argued there is value betting on Trump.
From FiveThirtyEight.com:
Indeed, some Nevada polls (though not all) show Trump getting a higher percentage of self-identified Democrats than Clinton gets Republicans. It’s also possible that Republicans turnout in disproportionately strong numbers on Election Day, despite previous trends.
All the Below Odds Courtesy of BetOnline North American Bettors Welcome
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Tuesday, Nov 08, 2016 |
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06:00 AM |
2001 |
Yes |
+240 |
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2002 |
No |
-350 |
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06:00 AM |
1503 |
Republican candidate |
-300 |
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1504 |
Democratic candidate |
+220 |
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06:00 AM |
1507 |
Republican candidate |
+300 |
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1508 |
Democratic candidate |
-450 |
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06:00 AM |
1513 |
Republican candidate |
-1000 |
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|
1514 |
Democratic candidate |
+500 |
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06:00 AM |
1519 |
Republican candidate |
-500 |
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|
1520 |
Democratic candidate |
+300 |
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06:00 AM |
1529 |
Republican candidate |
+400 |
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|
1530 |
Democratic candidate |
-700 |
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06:00 AM |
1533 |
Republican candidate |
+350 |
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|
1534 |
Democratic candidate |
-500 |
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06:00 AM |
1535 |
Republican candidate |
+220 |
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|
1536 |
Democratic candidate |
-300 |
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06:00 AM |
1541 |
Republican candidate |
-115 |
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|
1542 |
Democratic candidate |
-115 |
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06:00 AM |
1543 |
Republican candidate |
-240 |
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|
1544 |
Democratic candidate |
+175 |
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06:00 AM |
1549 |
Republican candidate |
+350 |
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1550 |
Democratic candidate |
-500 |
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06:00 AM |
1551 |
Republican candidate |
-5000 |
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|
1552 |
Democratic candidate |
+1400 |
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06:00 AM |
1555 |
Republican candidate |
+475 |
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|
1556 |
Democratic candidate |
-750 |
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06:00 AM |
1559 |
Republican candidate |
+600 |
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1560 |
Democratic candidate |
-1000 |
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06:00 AM |
101 |
Hillary Clinton |
-500 |
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|
103 |
Donald Trump |
+350 |
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119 |
Gary Johnson |
+50000 |
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120 |
Jill Stein |
+100000 |
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123 |
Evan McMullin |
+25000 |
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06:00 AM |
501 |
Democrats |
-500 |
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|
502 |
Republicans |
+350 |
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503 |
Independent |
+10000 |
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08:00 AM |
1701 |
Republican candidate |
-800 |
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1702 |
Democratic candidate |
+1400 |
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1703 |
Evan McMullin |
+600 |
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- Gilbert Horowitz, Gambling911.com |
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