Shagaf Post Position Draw Sixteen Odds – 2016 Kentucky Derby

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
May/05/2016

Shagaf post position draw landed him in the number sixteen spot and sits at 20-1 odds.  

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This post position has yielded four wins in 45 starts with three of those coming since 1999, the last being Animal Kingdom in 2011.  This is among the most sought out post positions for the Kentucky Derby.

Trainer Chad Brown said of the number 16 position, “We were looking for something on the outside with Shagaf with as big as he is so he’ll stay out of trouble. Sixteen will work just fine.”

Though finishing a disappointing 5th in his last start at the Wood Memorial, Shagaf did win his previous start at the Gotham Stakes.

Shagaf opened his career 3-for-3 and earned significant buzz until that loss.

"He didn’t really break well in the mud," Brown said of the Wood. "He tried to make a run there in the final turn and ran into some horses in front of him and had to stop. As you can see here this week, he’s a huge horse with a big stride. He’s like a big locomotive going downhill. I’m not sure how much stopping you can do with a horse like that when you have his momentum going. It’s just one of those things that happen in horse racing sometimes."

142nd Kentucky Derby: Post Positions and Odds

The field for the running of the 142nd Kentucky Derby, which is scheduled to start Saturday at 6:34 p.m. ET at Churchill Downs.

PP Horse

Trainer

Jockey

Odds

1. Trojan Nation

P. Gallagher

A. Gryder

50-1

2. Suddenbreakingnews

D. Von Hemel

L. Quinonez

20-1

3. Creator

S. Asmussen

R. Santana Jr.

10-1

4. Mo Tom

T. Amoss

C. Lanerie

20-1

5. Gun Runner

S. Asmussen

F. Geroux

10-1

6. My Man Sam

C. Brown

I. Ortiz Jr.

20-1

7. Oscar Nominated

M. Maker

J. Leparoux

50-1

8. Lani

M. Matsunaga

Y. Take

30-1

9. Destin

T. Pletcher

J. Castellano

15-1

10. Whitmore

R. Moquett

V. Espinoza

20-1

11. Exaggerator

Kei. Desormeaux

K. Desormeaux

8-1

12. Tom's Ready

D. Stewart

B. Hernandez Jr.

30-1

13. Nyquist

D. O'Neill

M. Gutierrez

3-1

14. Mohaymen

K. McLaughlin

J. Alvarado

10-1

15. Outwork

T. Pletcher

J. Velazquez

15-1

16. Shagaf

C. Brown

J. Rosario

20-1

17. Mor Spirit

B. Baffert

G. Stevens

12-1

18. Majesto

G. Delgado

E. Jaramillo

30-1

19. Brody's Cause

D. Romans

L. Saez

12-1

20. Danzig Candy

C. Sise

M. Smith

15-1

 

 

Post Position

Most Recent Winner

Wins/Starts

Win Percent

Wins/Starts Since 1999

Win Percent Since 1999

1

Ferdinand (1986)

8/86

9.3%

0/17

0%

2

Affirmed (1978)

7/86

8.1%

0/17

0%

3

Real Quiet (1998)

5/86

5.8%

0/17

0%

4

Super Saver (2010)

5/86

5.8%

1/17

5.9%

5

California Chrome (2014)

9/86

10.5%

3/17

17.6%

6

Sea Hero (1993)

2/86

2.3%

0/17

0%

7

Street Sense (2007)

6/85

7.1%

1/17

5.9%

8

Mine that Bird (2009)

8/85

9.4%

2/17

11.7%

9

Riva Ridge (1972)

4/82

4.9%

0/17

0%

10

Giacomo (2005)

9/79

11.4%

1/17

5.9%

11

Winning Colors (1988)

2/75

2.7%

0/17

0%

12

Canonero II (1971)

3/71

4.2%

0/17

0%

13

Smarty Jones (2004)

4/69

5.8%

1/17

5.9%

14

Carry Back (1961)

2/61

3.3%

0/17

0%

15

American Pharoah (2015)

5/54

9.3%

3/17

17.6%

 

 

16

Animal Kingdom (2011)

4/45

9.3%

3/17

17.6%

17

N/A

0/37

0%

0/16

0%

18

Gato Del Sol (1982)

1/29

3.4%

0/15

0%

19

I’ll Have Another (2012)

1/24

4.2%

1/12

8.3%

20

Big Brown (2008)

1/14

7.1%

1/6

16.7%

 

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com Publisher

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