The Oklahoma State vs. Texas spread was listed at OK State -5 after opening at -6.5 earlier in the week. Some 80 percent of those betting the spread were on Oklahoma State in this game. Texas was getting unusually lopsided (up to 95 percent) action on the money line, which would pay out $17 for every $10 bet should the Longhorns win outright. The 54.5 total was getting around 75 percent on the OVER.
There is a reason why we are seeing such heavy money line action going Texas’ way. The Longhorns (at 4-5 on the season) have won the last 10 in this series outright. We can view this as a 4-5 team going up against a number 11-ranked 8-1 team having little shot of winning, but past history suggests otherwise.
Note that the Mirage in Las Vegas had the line at Oklahoma State -5.5. The Hard Rock Casino in Punta Cana, Dominican Republic had the line at -5. Online, SBG Global was listing OK State at -5.
Other important trends to look at in this game:
The Cowboys are 6-1 Against The Spread in their last 7 games overall.
The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a Straight Up win. Texas is just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. They are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. (edge: Oklahoma State)
The Cowboys are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite.
The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Oklahoma State is 23-6-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
The Cowboys are 14-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Longhorns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. (edge: Oklahoma State)
The Longhorns are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Again, the Longhorns have won their last 10 games against Oklahoma State, giving Texas a tremendous edge when it comes to past head-to-head history.
- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com