Carrie Stroup here with your Clemson vs. FSU betting odds for Week 4 College Football. Open an online betting account today at Sportsbook.com and receive up to $250 in FREE CASH. Mobile wagering is available.
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Florida State -14 & 56
Opening Line & Total: Seminoles -13 & 58
Two of the top-10 teams in the nation open their conference schedule Saturday night when No. 4 Florida State hosts No. 10 Clemson.
The home team has come out on top nine times out of 10 in this series, but Clemson is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings with FSU. Last year the Tigers won 35-30 as Tajh Boyd threw for 344 yards and scored four times, including 2 TD passes to Sammy Watkins who had 141 receiving yards. Boyd has 822 total yards and 6 TD so far this season despite not having Watkins for two of those games. ‘Noles QB EJ Manuel did not play against the Tigers last year, but he has seven total TD this year as FSU has outscored its opponents by an astounding 176 to 3 margin. Clemson has not enjoyed visiting Tallahassee, losing seven of eight at Florida State in ACC play. In the eight trips, the Tigers have been within 14 points just twice, their lone pair of ATS victories during this string. Also, history shows that road teams after gaining 475+ total yards in their previous meeting with an opponent after gaining 6.75+ yards per play in two straight games are a woeful 12-42 ATS (22%) in the past decade. Also, since 1992 the ‘Noles are 12-3 ATS (80%) in home games after gaining 525+ total YPG over their past three contests.
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Boyd has gotten better in each game this season, throwing for 208 yards against Auburn, 229 versus Ball State and 310 last week against Furman. In these past two wins, he’s completed 39-of-52 passes (75%), while rushing just eight times, 11 fewer than he did in the season opener. Boyd’s favorite target has been DeAndre Hopkins, who has 26 catches for 319 yards and 4 TD in the three games. Watkins was suspended for the first two contests and returned to post a pedestrian four catches for 52 yards in the 41-7 drubbing of Furman last week. But the reason Clemson has won three straight ATS versus Florida State is because the Tigers have dominated on the ground, outrushing the ‘Noles 504-254 in these past three meetings. Andre Ellington leads the ACC with 328 rushing yards, scoring 4 TD and gaining 6.2 yards per carry. He rushed for 71 yards and a touchdown in last year’s win over FSU, but it took him 23 carries (3.1 YPC) to produce those numbers. On the defensive side of the ball, Clemson has given up just 17.7 PPG and 188 passing YPG, but the run defense has been burned for 181 rushing YPG (84th in nation). Also, the Tigers have a paltry three sacks in three games.
FSU has put forth a balanced offensive attack with 279 rushing YPG (11th in FBS) and 265 passing YPG. Senior RB Chris Thompson rushed for 197 yards and two touchdowns on just nine carries (21.9 YPC) against Wake Forest last week, but was held to 36 yards on 11 carries (3.3 YPC) in the loss to Clemson in 2011. The last time Manuel faced the Tigers was in 2010, when he threw for 210 yards, 0 TD and 1 INT in a 16-13 win. He has been very efficient in the passing game in the past two contests, completing 26-of-37 passes for 337 yards (9.1 YPA), 5 TD and 0 INT. The defense has been unbelievable in all facets, leading the nation in scoring defense (1.0 PPG) and total defense (103 YPG), while dialing up 11 sacks, 6½ of those by star DE Bjoern Werner.
- Carrie Stroup, Gambling911.com Senior Reporter