Top Major League Baseball Weekend Power Trends (July 31, 2010)

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Jul/30/2010
Baseball

With pennant races starting to shape, in addition to the trade deadline, MLB betting should be hot and  heavy this weekend at Sportsbook.com.

One of the biggest moves in anticipation of the trade deadline occurred yesterday when the Phillies  acquired Roy Oswalt from the Astros. Oswalt will get his first start for Philadelphia on Friday when he goes at Washington. The Phillies are heating up and come into the series as winners of their last eight games. Their bats have finally gotten going, having produced 5.8 runs per game during that stretch. In addition, Philly has dominated Washington of late, going 31-11 overall and 15-6 in Washington over the last three seasons.

The National League’s biggest series is in Cincinnati though, where divisional leaders will square off. The Reds host the Braves for three games, with both teams holding onto slim leads. Atlanta leads Philadelphia by 2-1/2 games in the East but that lead is shrinking fast, as the Phillies are streaking and the Braves are not. They are just 5-7 in their last 12 games, and will try to improve this weekend with a road record of 24-30.

Elsewhere in the Senior Circuit, the rivalry between the Giants and Dodgers resumes in San Francisco. Both teams seem to be heading in opposite directions as of late.  The Giants are 17-5 since the 4th of July, having taken over the wildcard lead and 3-1/2 games behind San Diego in the NL West. They are also 3-1/2 games on top of sinking L.A. The Dodgers are just 9-12 in that time span but made a key move this week in acquiring Scott Posednik to plug the outfield gap while Manny Ramirez remains unable to play with a calf injury. Los Angeles is looking to repeat the 3-game sweep of the Giants they enjoyed in San Francisco in late June.

In the American League, the best two teams in baseball will get together for three games when the Yankees visit the Rays. Only two games separate these teams at the top of the A.L. East, with Tampa currently in tow. The Rays can easily make up that ground this weekend though, as you’ll see from the trends below that they have absolutely dominated good teams at home in the latter part of the last few seasons. Both teams are playing at the top of their games right now and three solid pitching matchups will make this a series to watch. Incidentally, all eight games between these teams in 2010 have gone OVER the total.

Finally, out West, it’s last gasp time for the Angels, as they host the division leading Rangers for three games. With the Rays comfortably in control of the Wildcard race right now, it’s division or bust for almost everyone else. In that sense, the fact that Angels trail the Rangers by 9-games heading into this series make this desperation time. The clubs have separated over the last two weeks, with Texas going 8-3 since July 18th and the Angels winning just two of 10 games in that span. Angels’ bats are partly to blame, with just 2.9 runs per game put up in that stretch. At this point, anything but a sweep will be a failure in Anaheim.

Now let’s get to some key betting trends for this weekend’s games. As always, you can find all of this information at Sportsbook.com.

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON

PHILADELPHIA is 6-14 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The average score was PHILADELPHIA 3.8, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 2*)

ATLANTA at CINCINNATI

ATLANTA is 19-10 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The average score was ATLANTA 5.1, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)

ARIZONA at NY METS

NY METS are 20-5 UNDER (+14.3 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.  The average score was NY METS 2.9, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 3*)

MILWAUKEE at HOUSTON

MILWAUKEE is 30-42 (-21.4 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons.  The average score was MILWAUKEE 5.1, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)

PITTSBURGH at ST LOUIS

PITTSBURGH is 2-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.  The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.1, OPPONENT 6.9 - (Rating = 2*)

CHICAGO CUBS at COLORADO

COLORADO is 126-69 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 since 1997.  The average score was COLORADO 6.9, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)

FLORIDA at SAN DIEGO

SAN DIEGO is 23-8 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse this season.  The average score was SAN DIEGO 4.7, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 2*)

LA DODGERS at SAN FRANCISCO

LA DODGERS are 15-32 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  The average score was LA DODGERS 3.1, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)

CLEVELAND at TORONTO

TORONTO is 14-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.  The average score was TORONTO 6.1, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 1*)

DETROIT at BOSTON

DETROIT is 16-33 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.  The average score was DETROIT 3.8, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)

NY YANKEES at TAMPA BAY

TAMPA BAY is 14-1 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 3 seasons.  The average score was TAMPA BAY 6.7, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 3*)

BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY

KANSAS CITY is 24-9 OVER (+14.7 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.  The average score was KANSAS CITY 6.0, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)

OAKLAND at CHI WHITE SOX

CHI WHITE SOX are 17-4 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.  The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 6.0, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)

SEATTLE at MINNESOTA

SEATTLE is 4-21 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.  The average score was SEATTLE 3.5, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 1*)

TEXAS at LA ANGELS

LA ANGELS are 77-61 (+17.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  The average score was LA ANGELS 4.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)

Now that you have the key numbers for this weekend’s MLB betting board, head over to Sportsbook.com and place your bets.

tigan, Gambling911.com Publisher

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