Free Baseball Pick May 16, 2010
The Milwaukee Brewers host the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN tonight at 8:05 EDT. The Brewers are looking to avoid the embarrassing sweep to the Phillies. Both teams have explosive offenses, so tonight should be entertaining if nothing else. The Phillies are -145 favorites, with a total of 10 runs expected tonight.
Milwaukee is struggling mightily right now, as they've lost each of their past 5 games in blowout fashion. Even worse, all 5 losses have come at home. Milwaukee is 15-21 on the season, and are only 4-13 in home games this year. The Brewers have to be frustrated in their home play, as this was expected to be a good team this year. The Brewers will look to win today to avoid being swept in consecutive home series. Pitcher Doug Davis will take the mound today against Philadelphia. Davis is 1-4 with an ERA of 7.56 and a WHIP of 1.98 this season. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games against a left-handed starter. Milwaukee is 6-1 in Davis' last 7 home starts against a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 16-5 in Davis' last 21 starts against a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 2-5 in Davis' last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Brewers are 4-12 in their last 16 games as a home underdog. The Over is 7-2 in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record. Center-Fielder Carlos Gomez is on the DL due to a shoulder injury.
Philadelphia is 1 win away from winning 4 of their 5 game games of their road trip. The Phillies are 22-13 overall this season, tied for the best record in the National League. Philadelphia has the unique record of 22-13 both SU and on the run line this year. SU the Phillies are up 4.39 units, and nearly 9 units on the run line this season. Offensively, Philadelphia has scored 9 runs or more in 3 of their past 4 games. Cole Hamels will take the mound today for the Phillies, and he is 3-2 with an ERA of 4.53 and a WHIP of 1.53 this season. Philadelphia is 5-2 in their last 7 road games against a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 22-8 in Hamels' last 30 starts against the National League Central. The Phillies are 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a home winning percentage less than .400%. The Under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Shortstop Jimmy Rollins is on the DL due to a calf injury.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 7-6 in favor of the Philadelphia Phillies. The Over 10 runs is the Total of the Day.
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Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com (Courtesy of Pregame.com)
