Free Baseball Pick: Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
This free baseball pick for the Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets is courtesy of Pregame.com.
The New York Mets host the Detroit Tigers tonight in a battle of hot winning teams. Momentum is with the Mets, as they are clearly the better home team while the Tigers are a paltry road team. The Mets are -110 favorites, with a total of 8 runs expected tonight. ESPN will televise this game starting at 7:10 EDT.
New York had an offensive explosion last night, as they were able to snap their 2 game losing streak. The Mets are 40-20 SU this season, including an impressive 25-10 SU at home. New York is easily one of the elite teams to back from a betting standpoint, as they are up +11 and +21.72 units both SU and on the RL this season. Only 2 of their last 10 opponents have scored more than 4 runs against this Mets pitching staff. One of the biggest surprises on this Mets team has been pitcher R.A Dickey. Dickey is 5-0 with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. The Mets are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague games overal. The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 games against a right-handed starter. New York is 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games against a right-handed starter. New York is 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Mets are 5-0 in Dickey's last 5 starts overall.
The Mets are 8-1 in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning record. The Under is 7-0 in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning record. Second baseman Luis Castillo is Out tonight with a foot injury.
Detroit was rolling right along, winners of 8 of their previous 10 games. However, all didn't go well in their series opener in New York against the Mets. Detroit has an impressive record this year, 38-31 SU to be exact. However, the Tigers are only 13-20 SU on the road this season. Detroit is +5.63 and +7.24 units respectively both SU and on the RL this year. Tonight marks the 1st time in their last 10 games that the Tigers will be the listed underdog. P Jeremy Bonderman has actually pitched fairly well this season, despite minimal expectation. Bonderman is 3-4 with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.23 this year. The Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Detroit is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a right-handed starter. The Tigers are 48-22 in their last 70 interleague games against a right-handed starter. The Tigers are 4-0 in Bonderman's last 4 starts against the National League East. Detroit is 1-8 in Bonderman's last 9 starts against a team with a winning record.
The Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 games against the National League East. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. Center fielder Austin Jackson is listed as Probable tonight with a slight back injury.
Pregame.com projects the final score to be 5-4 in favor of the New York Mets. The Mets -110 is the Side of the Day!
Johnny Detroit, Gambling911.com
