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Why The 49ers Might Not Cover The Spread Against The Packers

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Jan/18/2022

We touched on why the Packers might have a tough time covering the -6 point spread against the 49ers, now let's look at why the 49ers might fail to do so against Green Bay.

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Why The 49ers Might Not Cover The Spread Against Packers Sunday

  • Packers are 11-1 Against The Spread in their last 12 games following a Straight Up loss.
  • Packers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Packers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
  • Packers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Green Bay has been especially profitable to bettors so far this season, covering in all but five games.
  • It's going to be 10 degrees and dropping during game time Saturday night.

Some Final Thoughts

The Packers have been so profitable that the oddsmakers will want to do all in their power to prevent Green Bay from having another cover.  Barring a blowout where the oddsmakers will have their hands tied, it makes sense to offer this one at a 3-point or greater overlay.  It is true that big overlays often result in a nice cover for the favorite.  This will be the case depending on which Jimmy Garoppolo shows up on the field this Sunday.  If it's the one who throws two or more interceptions, our prediction that San Francisco covers here gets thrown out the window.

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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