How About Those Ron Paul Presidential Odds

With Republican Ron Paul still in the US Presidential Race and gaining momentum, there is talk of a potential brokered convention.

Say what?  Wasn't Ron Paul dead in the water?

Well, this is no ordinary political race and it shouldn't surprise too many people that someone who is still getting 8 percent of the vote in recent state primaries (16 percent in Pennsylvania) would suddenly be taken serious again.

An AOL poll conducted last month showed that much of the Northwestern states were in favor of Ron Paul over John McCain.

From the Salt Lake City Tribune:

As they have done in Nevada, Minnesota and elsewhere, a number of Utah Ron Paul backers are trying to get elected today as delegates to the Republican National Convention where, under a proposed rule change, they could be free to vote for whomever they want.

Under existing party rules, the 36 Utah delegates to the convention are obligated to vote for Mitt Romney, who won the state GOP primary with 90 percent of the vote.

the state party will consider changing its rules to release the delegates and let them vote for whom they see fit.

The proposed bylaws change comes in response to a request from Romney, after he dropped out of the race, to release his bound delegates.

That could free the delegates to support whomever they want at the Republican National Convention in St. Paul in September - a point not lost on Paul supporters.

On blogs and in e-mails, Paul backers have spread a strategy aimed at getting Paul supporters elected as delegates in order to keep Sen. John McCain from getting enough delegate support to clinch the nomination. That could force a convention fight, they argue, and give Paul a path - albeit a contorted one - to win the nomination.

“We will try to force a brokered convention - there is no way around it,” writes Steve Parent on "The Daily Paul" blog.

But something else interesting happened on the way to the Convention that has helped build momentum Ron Paul's way.  His new book - “The Revolution: A Manifesto” - is number one on the New York Times Best Seller list. 

Upon its official release on April 30th, “The Revolution: A Manifesto” was the number one bestseller on Amazon.com and remains the number one bestseller in political books.

From one fervent Ron Paul supporter:

"(Ron Paul) feels that great progress can still be made with his campaign. He is still actively campaigning, and is also encouraging the ongoing delegate endeavors. Hopefully, he will head to the GOP convention with 100 delegates or so."

Ron Paul's main mission these days - getting those he supports into office and helping to reshape the Republican party over the next four years.  An example of a Ron Paul supported candidate includes New Jersey Senatorial front runner Muray Sabrin.

Ron Paul's odds of becoming the next President had dipped beyond 100 to 1 following McCain's nomination to the GOP and his odds are no longer listed at most online gambling websites. 

Senator John McCain, meanwhile, may be in more of a pickle than Hillary Clinton.

In North Carolina more than 105,000 Republicans did not vote for McCain. And in Indiana, 85,000 voters - whether they were Republican, Democrat or Independent - cast their ballots for someone other than the Arizona Republican.

The totals reflect roughly 90+ percent of the totals reported in each state, and will likely change, but not by much.

McCain failed to get more than 80 percent of the vote in any of the recent Republican Primaries.

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Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher CCostigan@CostiganMedia.com

Originally published May 11, 2008 1:54 am EST

 

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