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 New
Hampshire Primaries
Heat Up: John
McCain, Barack Obama
Lead Early Polling
Ron Paul supporters
may be thrilled to
know that their
candidate received 4
early votes in one
of the first New
Hampshire primary
towns to cast votes
Tuesday morning.
Paul came away with
4 votes while John
McCain led the way
with 6. Mike
Huckabee had 5 and
Mitt Romney had 1.
Whether voting in
this small town of
Hart's Location will
be a precursor of
things to come
remain to be seen.
The other small town
to cast votes,
Dixville Notch, also
provided McCain with
the most number: He
got 4, Romney 2 and
Rudy Giuliani
received 1 lone
vote.
On the Democratic
side, Barack Obama
has pulled away with
it early, receiving
a total of 16 votes
compared to Hillary
Clinton's 3 and John
Edwards 3.
Bill Richardson also
received a vote.
Technically, Ron
Paul was beating
Hillary Clinton
early in the New
Hampshire primaries
(if you want to get
really technical).
Although this year's
results were in line
with the latest
pre-election polls,
neither town is
known for
foreshadowing the
winners statewide on
any consistent
basis. For example,
Wesley Clark, the
retired Army
general, won 14 of
the 31 votes cast in
the last Democratic
primary in 2004.
Donna Kaye Erwin
cast the first
ballot in Dixville
Notch and voted for
McCain.
"I think he's
somebody we can look
at as president and
be proud of," she
said.
State law allows
towns with fewer
than 100 people to
open at midnight and
to close as soon as
all registered
voters have cast
ballots.
While most New
Hampshire residents
have to wait until
around daybreak to
vote, those in the
two far northern
towns have been
going to the polls
at midnight for
decades.
Latest Poll Numbers:
Source:
USN News
An American Research
Group poll of 600
likely Democratic
voters conducted
January 6-7 has
Obama at 40%,
followed by Clinton,
31%; Edwards, 20%;
and Richardson, 4%.
Among 600 likely
Republican voters,
McCain is at 31%,
followed by Romney,
24%; Huckabee, 14%;
Giuliani, 13%; and
Paul, 9%.
A CNN/WMUR poll of
599 likely
Democratic voters
has Obama at 39%,
followed by Clinton,
30%; Edwards, 16%;
and Richardson, 7%.
Among 492 likely
Republican voters,
McCain is at 31%,
Romney 26%, Huckabee,
13%; Giuliani, 10%;
and Paul, 10%.
A Fox News /Opinion
Dynamics poll taken
January 4-6 shows
Obama leading with
32%, followed by
Clinton with 28%;
Edwards, 18%; and
Richardson, 6%.
Among Republicans,
McCain leads with
34%, followed by
Romney, 27%;
Huckabee, 11%;
Giuliani, 8%; and
Paul, 5%.
A Marist College
Poll shows Obama
leading with 36%,
followed by Clinton
with 28% and Edwards
with 22%. On the GOP
side, McCain leads
with 35%, followed
by Romney at 31% and
Huckabee with 13%.
Marist surveyed 788
likely Democratic
primary voters and
628 likely GOP
primary voters on
January 5-6.
The Zogby
International
/C-Span tracking
poll of 844 likely
Democratic voters
conducted January
4-6 has Obama at
39%; followed by
Clinton, 29%;
Edwards, 19%; and
Richardson, 6%. In
yesterday's release,
which covered
polling done January
2-5, Clinton led
Obama 31%-30%. In
Zogby's final
pre-Iowa survey of
New Hampshire
sentiment, Clinton
led Obama 32%-26%.
On the GOP side, the
poll of 834 likely
Republican voters
shows little change
in recent days;
McCain leads with
34%; followed by
Romney, 29%;
Huckabee, 10%;
Giuliani, 9%; and
Paul, 6%.
A Rasmussen
automated poll of
1,203 likely
Democratic voters
conducted January
5-6 has Obama at
38%, followed by
Clinton, 28%;
Edwards, 18%;
Richardson, 8%; and
Kucinich, 4%. Among
1,094 likely
Republican voters,
McCain leads with
32%, followed by
Romney, 31%;
Huckabee, 11%;
Giuliani, 10%; Paul,
8%; and Thompson,
3%.
A CBS News poll of
323 likely
Democratic voters
taken January 5-6
shows Obama leading
with 35%, followed
by Clinton with 28%
and Edwards with
19%. The same sample
of Democrats,
interviewed back in
November, had backed
Clinton over Obama
39%-19%. CBS says
they reached too
small a sample of
Republican voters to
give a statistically
valid sample, but
they noted that
McCain was gaining
support and Romney
was losing it.
Romney Tops McCain
In Single Poll The
latest Suffolk
University/7News
poll shows the
opposite trend of
most other surveys
Romney has actually
made up significant
ground since the day
of the Iowa
caucuses, when he
trailed McCain
29%-25% in the
tracking. Among 500
likely Republican
voters, Romney is
now at 30%, followed
by McCain, 27%;
Giuliani, 10%; and
Huckabee, 9%. On the
Democratic side, the
Suffolk University
tracking poll of 500
likely Democratic
voters has Obama at
35%; Clinton, 34%;
and Edwards, 15%.
However, the
closeness of the
result might not be
much consolation to
the Clinton campaign
Clinton led Obama
39%-23% in the
tracking on
Thursday, the day of
the Iowa caucuses,
and has seen her
lead erode steadily
every day since
then. The survey was
taken January 5-6.
The Concord Monitor
reports that Romney
on Monday "played
down expectations
and ramped up his
biggest-in-the-Republican-field
campaign machine."
While "Romney had
long said his
candidacy hinged on
wins in early
states, he's
retooled that
strategy since his
second-place finish
in Iowa's leadoff
caucus. ...
Yesterday, he noted
his finish in
Wyoming's Republican
caucus and argued
that second place in
New Hampshire would
be good enough. 'If
I come in a
second-place finish,
that will actually
say that I am
clearly one of the
leading contenders,'
Romney said. 'I will
have come in second
in Iowa, first in
Wyoming, second in
New Hampshire. That
will mean that I
probably have more
votes than anybody
else in those first
three states.'"
ABC World News
reported, "For the
first time today,"
Romney "suggested he
would be satisfied
with second place
here." Romney: "If I
come in a second
place finish, that
will actually say
that I am clearly
one of the leading
contenders." Berman:
"It will also say
that he is zero for
two in the first
major contests
despite, once again,
spending more than
$7 million on ads,
more than all his
opponents combined.
And it would be
particularly
stinging, because
New Hampshire is his
backyard."
Gambling911.com New
Hampshire Primaries
News Throughout the
Day
----
Christopher
Costigan,
Gambling911.com
Publisher
CCostigan@CostiganMedia.com
Originally published
January 8, 2008
11:09 am EST
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