NFL Football Betting: Top NFL Pointspread Performers

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:

The NFL loves the concept of parity—the idea that on ‘any given Sunday’ any of the teams in the league can beat any of the other teams.  For that reason, NFL teams have a more difficult time putting up impressive pointspread records than their college football counterparts.  The opposite is also true and the dregs of the league will perform better against the spread due to the concept of parity.   It’s also helpful to understand which pointspread roles teams perform the best—or worst—in.  For example, some teams are better as favorites while others are better as home underdogs.  We’ve tracked all 32 NFL teams’ performance against the pointspreads posted at BetOnline.ag this season.  In this article, we’ll look at the ones that performed the best against the spread.

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LOS ANGELES RAMS (9-4 AGAINST THE SPREAD):  The Los Angeles Rams are a somewhat surprising top pointspread performer.  They’re not ‘under the radar’ by any stretch of the imagination.  They’ve also been somewhat erratic this year though they’ve rounded into form as the season has progressed.  Even more surprising for a ‘public’ team—they’ve performed well as a favorite both at home (4-2 ATS) and on the road (4-1 ATS).  They’ve only been an underdog twice this year and are 1-1 ATS in that role losing and failing to cover against Baltimore at home and losing and covering by ½ point at Seattle.  The Rams play at Dallas this weekend and are -1 point road favorites at BetOnline.ag against the struggling Cowboys.

BUFFALO BILLS (8-4-1 AGAINST THE SPREAD): The Bills are off a 7 point loss at Baltimore where they just barely failed to cover as +6.5 underdogs.  Buffalo is a sneaky good team and head coach Sean McDermott’s stock continues to rise with each passing week.  The Bills have been money in the bank on the road where they’re 5-0-1 ATS.  They’ve not been a good investment at home where they’re 3-4 against the number going 2-3 ATS as a favorite and 1-1 ATS as an underdog.  Buffalo has also been one of the best ‘Under’ teams in the league.  They’ve played ‘Under’ the total in 10 of their 13 games this season.  The Bills play a tough game at Pittsburgh on Sunday night where they’re currently a ‘Pick’.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (8-4-1 AGAINST THE SPREAD):  The 49ers have been one of the top teams in the league all year long and at 11-2 they currently have the second best record in the NFL behind the Baltimore Ravens at 12-2.  The Ravens played on Thursday night so the Niners can keep pace with Baltimore with a win this weekend at home against the Atlanta Falcons.  San Francisco has also been an excellent pointspread performer at 8-4-1 ATS.  It took awhile for NFL fans and bettors to accept the 49ers as ‘legit’ and that’s evidenced by their performance against the spread.  They’ve been at their best as an underdog this season going 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS.  They’re just 4-4-1 ATS as a favorite with a 3-2-1 record in that role at home and a 1-2 ATS record laying points on the road.  San Francisco is coming off one of their biggest wins of the season last week when they took a wild 48-46 victory at New Orleans as a +2 road underdog.  They’ve got two big games on deck to conclude the season as they host the Los Angeles Rams next week and travel to Seattle to play the Seahawks the following week.  That could make this week’s matchup against the lowly Atlanta Falcons something of a ‘flat spot’.  As a result, they could be hard pressed to cover the spread as -11 point favorites.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (8-5 AGAINST THE SPREAD): The Chiefs are one of four teams at 8-5 against the spread along with the Denver Broncos, New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers.  One interesting thing about this season to date is that the winning teams have also been covering.  That’s not always the case.  This season, however, only one of the top 11 teams against the spread having a losing record straight up (Denver is 5-8 SU but 8-5 ATS).  Conversely, only 1 of the 12 worst performing ATS teams in the league have a winning record—Chicago at 7-6 SU is the league’s worst pointspread performer at 4-9 ATS.  Kansas City has a winning pointspread record both as a favorite (6-4 ATS) and an underdog (2-1 ATS) though they’ve just been 3-3 ATS at home.  They’ll face another good pointspread team this weekend as they host the Denver Broncos on Sunday.  The Chiefs are currently -10 point favorites at BetOnline.ag and worth noting that Denver has been excellent as an underdog this year going 7-3 ATS.  The Broncos have covered their last three spots as road underdogs of +7.5 to +10 points including a 2-0 ATS record in that role this season.

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