NFL Betting – Super Bowl LIII Running Back Props
Super Bowl LIII features two teams with powerful offensive attacks that aren’t just about throwing the football.
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The New England Patriots have probably the best quarterback in the history of the game and the Los Angeles Rams have developed Jared Goff, the first overall pick from a few years ago, into one of the finest in the NFC. The teams can also run the football, providing balance that made them so successful. Todd Gurley had a big season until an injury put him on the shelf at the end of the regular season. The Pats counter with Sony Michel, who has rushed for 242 yards in two playoff games. BookMaker.eu offers numerous prop bets for the running backs in this game and we’ll examine a few of them more closely below.
Super Bowl LIII at a Glance
Los Angeles Rams vs. New England Patriots
Date and Time: Sunday, February 3, 2019, 6:30 p.m. ET
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Opening NFL Odds: Patriots -2.5, O/U 57.5
Rams vs. Patriots TV Coverage: CBS
Super Bowl LIII Running Back Props at BookMaker.eu
Todd Gurley Total Rushing Yards
Over 62.5 ( -137 )
Under 62.5 ( +107 )
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Even the oddsmakers are looking for Gurley to break free, giving him negative odds on going over his projected total of 62.5. Gurley ran for 1,251 yards during the regular season, but he had just 76 combined in his last two games before sitting with a knee injury. The emergence of C.J. Anderson cut into his snaps in the NFC Championship when Gurley admittedly played a “sorry” game and spent most of it on the sideline. The player and team made it clear that it wasn’t a recurrence of the injury that forced him out, but the conspiracy theorists are out there.
And if Gurley was banged up I doubt he would have shredded the Cowboys for 115 yards with a 7.2 average. The Rams beat the Saints with Gurley spending most of the time watching, but they need him to have a chance. And Gurley said he plans on playing every down and that he’s not coming out of the game. That’s not his decision, but I like his attitude. And that will carry over to a solid performance that eclipses his rushing yardage total.
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Prediction: Over 62.5 ( -137 )
James White Total Rushing Attempts
Over 3.5 ( -131 )
Under 3.5 ( -101 )
When the Pats are successful running the ball, White reaps the benefits with more carries and yards on his stat line. He’s not the featured back, conceding that role to Sony Michel, but he takes valuable snaps. I don’t anticipate the Pats having as much room to run against an improved and aggressive Rams defense, and with Brady forced to throw the football more, attempts are taken off White’s plate. He should have won the MVP two years ago when he scored the winning touchdown in overtime against the Falcons, but he’s used more as a third-down back and that will prevent him from getting enough carries to cash the over.
Prediction: Under 3.5 ( -101 )
C.J. Anderson Total Rushing Attempts
Over 10.5 ( -144 )
Under 10.5 ( +112 )
If it wasn’t for Anderson, the Rams probably would not be playing on Sunday. A late season pickup, Anderson hit the ground running, literally. He played only two regular season games, starting in place of the injured Gurley at the end of the schedule, compiling 299 rushing yards on 43 carries. Gurley’s return for the playoffs didn’t affect Anderson’s touches against Dallas as he carried the ball 23 times for 123 yards. And his performance allowed him to get a majority of carries in the NFC Championship. He didn’t produce as many yards, but ran the ball 16 times.
It’s evident that Sean McVay will ride the hot hand, and that’s been Anderson as Gurley gets back from his injury. But Gurley will be looking to redeem himself after a crappy performance against the Saints, and I fully expect him to have a big game. That leaves Anderson on the bench this time and though he will get a few touches, he won’t have nearly enough, making the under a winner on this prop.
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Prediction: Under 10.5 ( +112 )
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