NFL Betting Pick – New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

On paper this doesn’t look like much of a game with the Baltimore Ravens surging to the top of the AFC on the strength of a team record nine-game winning streak. The New York Jets have overcome a dreadful 1-7 start to win four of their last five games, albeit against less than stellar competition. We are expected to see MVP candidate Lamar Jackson on the field after he was limited earlier in the week with a leg injury. And because of that the Ravens opened as a huge 14.5-point favorite on the NFL betting line.

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New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens

Date and Time: Thursday, December 12, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET

Location: MT Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Opening NFL Odds: Baltimore -14.5, O/U 44

Jets at Ravens TV Coverage: FOX, NFL Network

Odds Analysis

Despite winning four of their last five games the Jets aren’t getting much love from oddsmakers or the betting public. New York opened -14.5 and that number was soon wagered to -16 with nearly 60 percent of the action on the hosts. The Ravens have been a runaway train winning nine in a row and handling some good teams in the process. They’ve also been a good bet going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. Baltimore has been a double-digit favorite three times this season going 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS. The total surfaced at 44, spiked to 45 and has settled in between at 44.5.

New York Jets

There has been a resurgence from Gang Green winning four of their last five games after opening with seven losses in their first eight encounters. It may not seem like much, but the Jets can get to .500 for the first time in four seasons by winning out. They’ve already matched their highest win total from any of the previous three seasons. Baby steps, I guess. That’s unlikely to happen, though, with games against Pittsburgh and Buffalo following Thursday night’s encounter.

If Le’Veon Bell can run as well as he bowls the Jets might have a fighting chance. We all know about the fiasco last week when Bell didn’t play but was seen out bowling a few games. According to Bell he rolled a personal-best 251, which isn’t too shabby as the bowling aficionados well know. Bell hasn’t been his best on the football field, though, and he’s bitched about his lack of touches. Can you keep giving the ball to a guy who hasn’t produced? Bell hasn’t rushed for more than 70 yards in a game and averages just 3.2 yards per carry.

With Bilal Powell out the load falls on Bell. He wanted more touches and he’s about to get them. But can he do anything against a defense that’s flown under the radar due to the magical season of Jackson? New York’s defense likely catches a break with Jackson playing on a short week with a leg injury. The Jets are second in the NFL against the run and the group will be tested.

Baltimore Ravens

What more can you say about Jackson? The front runner for league MVP has been lethal leading the Ravens to a record nine-straight wins. And unlike the Jets, they’ve knocked off some decent clubs, including Seattle, New England, Houston, the Rams, Frisco and Buffalo last week. All those clubs currently have a winning record and are in contention for a playoff spot if not already in one.

With Jackson leading the way the Ravens have the NFL’s highest scoring team at 33.1 points per game while averaging a league-best 200.9 yards per game on the ground. LJ has rushed for 1,017 yards to rank ninth in the entire league. He also has five rushing touchdowns. Mark Ingram will soon join his teammate in the 1,000-yard club since he’s just 113 yards away. He doesn’t throw the ball a lot, but Jackson is deadly when he does. He leads the league with 28 touchdown passes yet he ranks 25th with only 347 attempts.

With Jackson hogging the headlines, Baltimore’s defense has looked like the fearsome group from seasons past. During the winning streak the group has surrendered an average of just 15.1 points per game and hasn’t allowed an opponent to score more than 20 points. Overall the Ravens are fifth in points allowed and sixth in yards allowed per game. Not good for a Jets team that’s struggled to score and move the football.

Bet Jets at Ravens at BookMaker.eu

It’s hard to expect Jackson to be his electric self dealing with an injury and coming off a short week. Meanwhile, the Jets needed a last second field goal to topple Miami, 22-21, last week, so I would say the under has some value in this game. The spread is high and for the same reasons I like the Jets to cover, but they won’t win this game outright.

NFL Score Prediction: Baltimore 26, New York 14

Access live betting lines from your mobile device at BookMaker sportsbook! Real-time spreads, totals, props and money line are all available so start betting with BookMaker today.

- Phil Simon, Gambling911.com

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