NBA Playoffs Western Conference Betting Trends
Carrie Stroup here with your NBA Playoffs Western Conference betting trends. While Eastern Conference bettors are following their usual M.O. of betting the FAVORITES and OVERS, Western Conference bettors seem to be deviating from their normal betting patterns so far.
This most likely has to do with the large number of points the favorites are giving the underdogs. About 73% of the early bettors are backing Denver +8.5, 79% of the early cash is on LA +10.5 and 85% of the action is on the smoldering Golden State +10. Definitely keep an eye on these percentages as they are sure to change as the money piles in. Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”. By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.
For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction. On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later. Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick. Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Western Conference match-ups, more can be found at Sportsbook.com
Be Sure to Get Your Bets In Early Here
Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets
At home, Houston is just 15-24-2 ATS this season.
ATS, Utah was 21-31-1 as a favorite and 16-11-1 as an underdog.
In their last 21 games, Utah has covered only 4 games.
In their last 11 road games, Utah is just 2-9 ATS.
Houston has not covered in their last 5 games, nor have they covered their last 5 games at home.
At home against Western Conference teams, Houston is only 6-18-2 ATS.
In the Rockets’ last 8 home games; the TOTAL has gone UNDER 6 times.
After playing 3 consecutive home games, Utah is 0-5 ATS this season and 5-19 over the past three seasons.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns
At home, LA covered the OVER 62.5% of the time whereas Phoenix covered the OVER only 39% of the time at home this season.
This season versus Western Conference teams, Phoenix is 29-22-1.
Since 3/16, LA is just 5-16-1 ATS.
As a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, Phoenix is just 1-9 ATS this season and 7-22 ATS over the last three seasons.
Versus teams with a winning record, Phoenix was an impressive 23-13 ATS this season.
In their last 17 games, LA covered the OVER 12 times.
Combined, these teams average 213.5 PPG but give up 206.3 PPG.
Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs
At home, San Antonio covered the OVER only 40% of the time this season.
The last 10 times these teams have played each other, San Antonio covered 7 times.
The last 10 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered 7 times.
Away from home Denver is 25-15-1 ATS.
In home games where the TOTAL is between 196 and 199.5 point, San Antonio is 0-4 ATS this season; 2-9 ATS over the last three seasons; and 6-20 ATS since 1996.
In their last 22 games, Denver is 16-6 ATS.
In Sunday games, Denver was a perfect 7-0 ATS this season.
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
Golden State covered the spread the last 5 times these teams played.
The last 10 times these teams squared off, the OVER covered 8 times.
Since March 4th, Golden State is an impressive 17-5 ATS.
In their last 13 games, Golden State covered the OVER 11 times.
At home versus Western Conference opponents, Golden State is 17-9 ATS.
Dallas is usually a safe “money line” bet. If you wagered the money line on Dallas in every game this season, you’d be up 35.55 units.
Be Sure to Place Your Bets Here
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”. With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit. Also for all of you poker players, check out Sportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.
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Carrie Stroup, Sports911.com
Originally published April 21, 2007 12:33 am ET
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