The Las Vegas Economy: How Is Sin City Coping?

Las Vegas, long thought to be immune from any recession, suddenly found itself among the hardest hit in the shadow of a rattled economy.  Surging fuel prices and a mortgage meltdown continue to wreak havoc in Vegas.

Gambling itself may be "recession proof" (the struggling economy hasn't necessarily affected the online gambling establishments), but it's getting to Vegas where the problems may arise.  Having to pay higher air fares, gas prices for those traveling by car and the realities that a Las Vegas vacation may not necessarily fit into one's financial budget are just a few of the variables affecting Sin City's economy.  The housing crisis has made it more difficult for locals to enjoy the casinos as well.  Even those not involved in direct foreclosures may be hurt indirectly as a result of increased maintenance fees and rises in monthly mortgage payments.

"I am concerned (about the Las Vegas economy)," Congresswoman Shelley Berkley told US Today.   The former cocktail waitress and casino lawyer hardly seems optimistic.  "I represent a couple of million people who depend on hotels and gaming in some way. We've usually been recession-proof, but (after big casino layoffs this year) our unemployment rate is a tick above the national average. And 46% of visitors come through the airport, and they're cutting flights."

Tim Poster: A gaming expert who partnered with Breitling in the Golden Nugget, can concur with Congresswoman Berkley.

"We're more vulnerable to recession this time around. Once, rooms were $40-$50 a night and meals were cheaper."

Now there are lots of pricier properties with higher overhead.

In many ways, the economic woes faced by Vegas could benefit visitors.  Industry analysts expect hotel room rates to be slashed significantly.

"You are going to see great deals on the Strip, even double-digit rates (at lower-end properties),"  Tom Breitling: Former co-owner of the Golden Nugget casino, told USA Today. "For a lot of people who felt Vegas was overpriced, it's getting more affordable."

"The overall economic uncertainty this country is facing ... makes the outlook for the next several months very murky," said Gary Thompson, spokesman for Harrah's Entertainment Inc., owner of seven Las Vegas casinos.

Airlines Cut Flights

US Airways announced Thursday it would cut its Las Vegas operations nearly in half by the end of the year. It'll go from a high of 141 departures last year to 81 flights on Sept. 3 and to 74 flight by year's end. 

The US Airways night-flight hub operation, established in 1986 by predecessor America West Airlines, makes the carrier McCarran's second busiest airline.

"We've seen airlines increase and decrease service periodically. Clearly, never to this extent all at once," said Alan Feldman, a spokesman for MGM Mirage Inc., which owns 10 casinos on the Las Vegas Strip and plans to open CityCenter next year.

"As far as filling the rooms, the lack of airline service I think is going to have an impact on the entire community," Thompson said.

The top five largest scheduled airlines at McCarran in number of passengers carried in 2007 are Southwest Airlines (34.63%), US Airways/ US Airways Express (21.98%), United Airlines/ United Express (7.16%), Delta Airlines/ Delta Connection (5.67%), and American Airlines/ American Eagle (4.84%).

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There will be beneficiaries from the cutbacks: Specifically Southwest Airlines, the industry's only profitable carrier.

Las Vegas is Southwest's busiest airport with 240 flights.  It is one of the few airlines that has announced continued growth plans over at least the next year.

Newcomer Virgin America will also be adding flights to and from Las Vegas, albeit on a smaller scale.

Despite a 10 percent cut in flights from the airline, which is less than a year old, Virgin says they intend to move forward with a planned New York to Las Vegas route.  Likewise, long established Virgin Atlantic has announced an increase in their services between Gatwick Airport and Las Vegas from the six flights every week that they operate to a dedicated daily service.

In the end, Las Vegas is going to have to become even more creative.

The Venetian has already started to lead the way.  That hotel property is offering rooms set according to the temperature in the desert oasis, anywhere from $104 a night to $115 a night later in the summer.

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Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher CCostigan@CostiganMedia.com

Originally published June 20, 2008 9:43 am EST