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Iowa Caucus - January 3, 2008 Here is the latest news concerning the upcoming Iowa Caucus to be held January 3, 2008. It's the first of many state primaries which will determine the final candidates for each party, Republican and Democrat, running for the 2008 US Presidency. Look on the Bright Side Ron Paul Supporters Ron Paul didn't win in Iowa Thursday night and he didn't even come in third or fourth place. But there is some good news that the long time Congressman and his supporters can take away from Iowa....
For the poker player, Barack Obama's big win in Iowa added some ray of hope to those who want prohibitions on Internet poker lifted. While Obama has not been vocal on the subject of online poker legalization, his camp has hinted that he supports the activity, and why wouldn't he?
John McCain Fred Thompson Duke It Out for Third in Iowa Caucus Republicans John McCain and Fred Thompson were vying for a third place finish in Iowa with 80% of the precincts reporting. The two were in a dead tie for third in the Caucus, both with just over 13%. Thompson is rumored to be ready to drop out of the race if he fails to crack the top three.
It may be close but CNN has announced that Senator Barack Obama wins the Iowa Democratic caucuses. Obama was listed with 5/1 odds of becoming the next US President coming into this caucus while Hillary Clinton was listed with slightly better than even odds. Clinton and Edwards were in a dead heat tie for second place Thursday night.
Mike Huckabee Wins Iowa Caucus Early CNN has determined very early on that Mike Huckabee has won the Iowa Caucus for the Republicans. Huckabee has come out of nowhere in recent weeks to win in Iowa. The big loser: Mitt Romney, who spent a fortune on advertising in Iowa compared to Huckabee, who is widely believed to have much less cash on hand. Forget the Iowa Caucuses. Even forget the US Presidential race. CNN appears to be preparing a showdown with Fox News in an effort to capitalize on a groundswell of anger cast towards Fox News and its exclusion of Republican candidate Ron Paul. Obama, Edwards Plow Ahead of Hillary Clinton: Ron Paul Hits Double Digits in Iowa Democratic US Presidential hopefuls Barack Obama and John Edwards surged ahead of Hillary Clinton during the overnight hours in what could be a devastating blow to the Clinton campaign in Iowa come Thursday night when the final Caucus tallies are in. Barack Obama was now leading by 4% in a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Thursday. Edwards had passed by Clinton.
Just when you thought you've witnessed every last means available for 2008 US Republican Presidential hopeful Ron Paul supporters to reach out to voters, now comes word of a World of Warcraft March. Say what? Cinamablend.com reports that last night, a group of Ron Paul supporters (participants claim there were three hundred participants) created Alliance characters on the Whisperwind server of the popular MMORPG and marched from Ironforge to Stormwind under the guild tag . Marchers used the Deeprun Tram linking the two cities, rather than taking the hazardous overland route. Ron Paul Odds to Come in Third in Iowa, New Hampshire Online oddsmakers have Ron Paul in a comfortable third place finish among bettors in both the Republican Iowa Caucus and the New Hampshire primary. While third place may not be as good as an outright win, it's good enough to boost momentum for Ron Paul heading into future primaries where his treasure chest for advertising totals upwards of $20 mil. Many of the 2008 US Republican Presidential candidate's supporters believe that once voters realize Paul is a formidable candidate, finishing among the top 3, more Americans are likely to vote for him. Iowa Caucuses 2008 Betting Odds Prediction markets for elections have proven quite accurate in recent years and the Iowa Caucuses 2008 betting odds may not be an exception. Bookmaker.com was offering odds on the Iowa Caucus heading into the big day January 3, 2008. It should be noted that Bookmaker.com, the oldest established offshore bookmaker catering to the North American market since 1986, had odds that somewhat mirrored the polls, with the notable exception of Republican Ron Paul, who came in with the 3rd best odds of winning in Iowa.
Sure there were probably plenty of Ron Paul supporters casting their vote, disenchanted by Fox News inclusion of their favorite Republican US Presidential candidate in an upcoming New Hampshire debate, but if 96% of the overall vote is made up of Ron Paul supporters, Fox News may need to seriously reconsider their decision. Ron Paul Running Third in New Hampshire According to Oddsmakers He may have been excluded from participating in an upcoming Fox News New Hampshire debate, but that hasn't stopped the betting market from overwhelmingly giving US Presidential hopeful Ron Paul a third place finish in the "Live Free or Die" state, well ahead of both Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani. Oddsmakers Overwhelmingly Believe Hillary Clinton Will Beat Barack Obama by Wide Margin Though they have since removed odds on the Iowa Primary, BetUS.com had Hillary Clinton listed as the -150 favorite to win New Hampshire and Barack Obama listed with even odds (John Edwards was at +1200 or a $100 bet would pay out $1200 in New Hampshire).
"Understandably, neither side apparently wants to incur the online wrath of Paul's passionate parishioners, who scour the Internet around the clock and descend like locusts on any opportunity to praise Paul or right perceived wrongs on any website or blog they can find." One of the better quotes to describe the massive swarm of supporters for the 2008 US Presidential candidate, Ron Paul, from Andrew Malcolm of the LA Times Blog which delves deeper into the massive out-of-control Fox News Ron Paul New Hampshire Debate exclusion controversy. Ron Paul Supporters Could Cause Millions of Losses for Fox News 2008 US Presidential candidate Ron Paul supporters raised an unprecedented $10 million plus during two single day fundraising efforts. Real supporters putting their money behind a candidate they truly believe can become the next President of the United States. Fox News doesn't see it that way. That organization has excluded the long time Texas Representative from participating in an upcoming televised New Hampshire debate. In response, supporters of Ron Paul have called for boycotting the cable news network and its sponsors. With nearly $20 million raised for the Paul campaign during the 4th quarter, there is speculation that a "boycott" move could seriously affect sponsors. 2008 Presidential Prediction Markets Can Cut Through the Clutter of Polls and Pundits
As the 2008
presidential race
heats up, voters are
overwhelmed by a
flood of new data:
Who is ahead in the
polls? Who is
winning the "money
race"? How are the
dynamics of the race
likely to respond as
the candidates tack
left and right,
advertising
strategies change,
and we learn whose
Web site is drawing
more eyeballs? Mayor Michael Bloomberg Running for President? Rumors continue to swirl that New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg may be planning to jump into the heated 2008 US Presidency race. Will he make an announcement before the Iowa Primary this coming Thursday? As we reported yesterday here at Gambling911.com, 2008 US Presidential hopeful Ron Paul has been excluded from an upcoming Republican debate to be shown on a local New Hampshire Fox affiliate. Supporters and Ron Paul's campaign people are calling Fox out. Fox News Excludes Ron Paul from Presidential Debate After All Fox News has excluded Ron Paul from participating in the last debate the weekend before the primary election begins. The debated occurs on January 6, less than one day after two back to back Republican and Democratic debates are being held at the same location sponsored by ABC News, WMUR-TV and Facebook. Bet on the 2008 US Presidency Here
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