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Though they have since removed odds on the Iowa Primary, BetUS.com had Hillary Clinton listed as the -150 favorite to win New Hampshire and Barack Obama listed with even odds (John Edwards was at +1200 or a $100 bet would pay out $1200 in New Hampshire). That's only half the story, however. Based on the amount of betting action that's influenced the line thus far, BetUS.com (see website here) has Hillary Clinton with nearly a 4 1/2 point lead ahead of Barack Obama (Obama currently pays $4 for every $1 bet to become the next US President). The news coming into Thursday's Iowa primary is that Barack Obama was now enjoying a pretty decent size lead over the New York State Senator and former First Lady.
With two days before
Iowans go to the
polls, significant
support for Sen.
Barack Obama from
political
independents has put
rival Democratic
campaigns on edge,
challenging the
traditional model of
the state's caucuses
as a low-turnout
exercise dominated
by partisan
insiders. That news hasn't figured into the betting trend just yet when it comes to the long term picture, however. "The long term future odds are on Hillary Clinton to beat Barack Obama by a rather large margin," expressed Gambling911.com Senior Editor and Political Analyst, Payton O'Brien. "As featured on the Gambling911.com website this week, Political prediction markets provide us -- the consumers of this information -- with a way to cut through this clutter. And there is nothing but clutter when it comes to all these news stories about who is ahead of whom in Iowa and beyond." Read More About Prediction Markets Here ---- Christopher Costigan, Gambling911.com Publisher CCostigan@CostiganMedia.com
Originally published
January 1, 2008
11:14 pm EST
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Oddsmakers
Overwhelmingly
Believe Hillary
Clinton Will Beat
Barack Obama by Wide
Margin