Alabama maintains a power rating of 87.29, 18th among teams and around 6 points below No. 1 ranked Baylor. We have Alabama favored by 2 points here but the books have something else in mind, making the Bulldogs a -1.5 favorite.
Bama's dog status is primarily a result of the team losing two games within the past week.
Neither team has been particularly impressive when it comes to profiting for sportsbooks. Alabama is two wins under the .500 mark Against The Spread while Mississippi State is a game above.
The Tide are 1-5 Against The Spread in their last 6 games following a ATS loss and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
As an underdog this season, Bama is 2-0 Straight Up.
As an away underdog since 2018, Alabama is just 6-15 Straight Up for an abysmal win percentage of 28.6%.
As a home favorite since 2018, Mississippi State is an impressive 44-8 SU for an 84.6% win percentage. They have only lost 12 of 58 home games over that span for a near 80% win percentage.
Alabama though is 7-3 against Mississippi State in the last ten meetings and the Tide have won the last three games.
The trend that blew our minds and has us backing the Crimson Tide +1.5, Bulldogs are just 2-12 Straight Up against ranked opponents. That's just over a 14% win percentage in 14 games!!!!
