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College Football Betting - Biggest Under Teams 2019

Written by:
C Costigan
Published on:
Dec/11/2019

We’ve covered the teams that have made the most money and lost the most money.  Now we’ll look at the biggest ‘Under’ teams—the teams that have played the most games ‘Under’ the total.  Although there is something to the old saying that ‘defense wins championships’ you’ve still got to put points on the board.  For that reason, none of these teams are anywhere close to the College Football Playoffs. There was a point when only ‘big’ college football games had posted totals.  Today, a first rate sportsbook such as BetOnline.ag will have totals on every game on the board.  There’s never been a better time to wager on college football totals.

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BETTING—BIGGEST ‘UNDER’ TEAMS

SAN DIEGO STATE (1 OV, 11 UN):  The San Diego State Aztecs are the undisputed ‘Under’ champion in college football this season.  Under Rocky Long, the Aztecs had one of the toughest defenses in college football this season.  They ranked #4 in scoring defense (12.8 PPG), #5 in total defense (288.7 yards per game) and #2 in rushing defense (70.3).  Good defense is a major part of the ‘Under’ equation but many teams with elite defenses score too many points on offense.  Clemson, for example, has the #1 total defense and scoring defense in college football but also has the #4 scoring offense.  The Tigers’ games were almost evenly split this year with 6 OV, 7 UN.  San Diego State doesn’t have that problem because their offense is downright inept.  They had the #119 scoring offense in college football this year scoring a mere 19 PPG.  How bad is that?  That’s fewer PPG scored than one of the doormats we discussed yesterday, the University of Massachusetts who rank #117 scoring 19.8 PPG.  SDSU also had the #115 total offense putting up just 329.3 yards per game.  They also had the #103 rushing offense with 113.7 yards per game.  They were a ‘perfect storm’ of ‘Unders’--nasty on defense, bumbling on offense.  That doesn’t come around very often.

MISSOURI (2 OV, 10 UN): Missouri employed a similar dynamic to stay ‘Under’ in 10 of their 12 games this season.  They weren’t as good on defense as SDSU but they were pretty solid ranking #14 in total defense and #17 in scoring defense allowing just 19.4 PPG.  The offense wasn’t bad enough to call ‘inept’ as is the case with San Diego State but they’re still pretty bad ranking #91 with 25.3 PPG.  They were also #94 in total offense amassing just 374.3 PPG.  This dynamic isn’t particularly effective anywhere but it’s definitely not going to work in the SEC which is why the Tigers finished 6-6 SU/4-8 ATS. The Tigers finished the year with 6 straight games ‘Under’ the total during which time they went 1-5 SU/0-6 ATS.

GEORGIA (3 OV, 10 UN):  Where have we heard this refrain?  Georgia was nasty on defense but sputtering on offense.  On defense, the Dawgs had the #2-T scoring defense allowing 12.5 PPG tied with Ohio State and just behind Clemson.  They had the #4 total defense allowing just 274.2 yards per game and the #3 rushing giving up just 75.7 yards on the ground per game.  Like Missouri, they weren’t bad enough on offense to be considered ‘inept’ but ranked #51 in scoring offense.  That figure is a bit misleading as much of that damage was done during the early part of the campaign.  Georgia also scored 52 against in-state rival Georgia Tech but that notwithstanding scored more than 24 points only once during their last 8 games of the season.  Three games during that stretch saw the Bulldogs score less than 20 points and not surprisingly they lost two of those to South Carolina and LSU.  Georgia will play Baylor in the Sugar Bowl on January 1 and the Dawgs should be able to control their opponent defensively once again.  That means they could be good for one more ‘Under’ ticket before the end of the season.  Georgia went ‘Under’ in 7 of their last 8 games on the schedule with the only ‘Over’ coming against Georgia Tech.

CINCINNATI (3 OV, 10 UN):  Cincinnati was somewhere between Georgia and Missouri in terms of defensively quality and offensive ineptness.  They were the #67 scoring offense in college football and the #86 total offense.  Their defense wasn’t nasty to the extent of either Missouri or Georgia, ranking #52 in total defense allowing 376.6 yards per game and #30 in scoring defense giving up 21.7 PPG.  Of course there is something to be said for ‘balance’ in college football and that is evidenced by the Bearcats 10-3 SU record on the year.  Cincy went ‘Under’ in their last 5 games and 5 of their last 6.  They’ll play Boston College in the Birmingham Bowl on January 2 and it should be an intriguing matchup as the Eagles went ‘Over’ in 8 of 12.

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