Home Team 8-2 in Last Brewers-Braves Meetings, Atlanta 4-1

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
May/19/2019

Up to 74% of consensus picks are on the Milwaukee Brewers in their game against the Atlanta Braves despite a strong trending edge for Atlanta.

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The Braves are 4-1 in the last five meetings and the home team is 8-2.

The line has not moved much off the -125 favoring Milwaukee.  The total has wobbled between 9.5 and 10 with a general trend from 9.5 to 10, suggesting there will be plenty of runs scored here. 

PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Brandon Woodruff (6-1, 3.72 ERA) vs. Braves RH Mike Foltynewicz (0-3, 8.02)

Woodruff has been a big key to Milwaukee's early success this season as he seeks to become the first National League pitcher to record seven wins. The 26-year-old has limited opponents to a .224 batting average while going 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last four starts, registering 27 strikeouts while allowing only three runs and 17 hits in 22 innings. Woodruff, who will be facing the Braves for the first time, shut out Philadelphia on one hit over six innings on Tuesday despite issuing five walks.

Foltynewicz's season has gotten off to a dreadful start, as he has served up eight homers over 21 1/3 innings in four starts while his average fastball velocity is down from 96.8 miles per hour last year to 94.2. The 27-year-old, who missed most of spring training and the first four weeks of the campaign with elbow soreness, surrendered a career-worst eight runs on seven hits - three homers - and three walks in 4 2/3 frames against St. Louis on Tuesday. Foltynewicz, who has yet to allow fewer than four runs, is 2-2 with a 2.90 ERA in six career games (five starts) versus the Brewers.

GAMBLING911.COM'S RECORD

2019 MLB Record: 12-6-1 (66.7%) - No Plays Over -160

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2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

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