NFL Black Monday Coach Firings (2019): Latest Odds

Written by:
Don Shapiro
Published on:
Dec/27/2019

The holiday season will unceremoniously end for a few head men around the National Football League.  SportsBetting.ag has released odds on who they believe will be fired in the form of an OVER/UNDER wager.  The OVER/UNDER for total head coaches fired between Sunday and Wild Card Weekend is 3.5.


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Based on current odds available for individual head coaches, five are favored not to hold their jobs come the start of the 2020 regular NFL season.  They include Jason Garrett of the Cowboys, Pat Shurmur of the Giants, Freddie Kitchens of the Browns, Anthony Lynn of the Chargers and Doug Marrone of the Jaguars.

The Dolphins Brian Flores job appears to be safe even though at the start of the season oddsmakers mouths were watering over the prospect of a 0-16 season.  They’ve actually won four and could end the season 5-11 when all is said and done.

The Bengals, Redskins and Detroit Lions all have fewer wins (and arguably more talent) than the Dolphins heading into the final week of the regular season.

Zac Taylor of the 1-14 Bengals also appears to be safe.  At least the oddsmakers at SportsBetting.ag are not offering a price on him heading into Black Monday.

Current head coach odds and Week 17 prop bets:
 
Will Jason Garrett be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?
Yes -500
No +300
(83.3% implied probability Garrett will be fired)
 
Will Pat Shurmur be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?
Yes -175
No +135
(63.6% implied probability Shurmur will be fired)
 
Will Freddie Kitchens be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?
Yes -150
No +110
(60.0% implied probability Kitchens will be fired)
 
Will Anthony Lynn be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?
Yes -150
No +110
(60.0% implied probability Lynn will be fired)
 
Will Doug Marrone be fired by Week 1 of 2020 season?
Yes -200
No +150
(66.7% implied probability Marrone will be fired)
 
Total head coaches fired between end of Week 17 and first playoff game
Over 3.5 (-160)
Under 3.5 (+120)

- Don Shapiro, Gambling911.com

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