Bet the Lakers-Cavs Game November 21: 89 Percent Early Action on LA

Bet the Lakers-Cavs game Wednesday evening with LA coming in as the -9.5 favorite.  Nearly 95% of the spread action was on the Lakers. 

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The line is moving in reaction to the lopsided 95% early betting on the Lakers spread.  Sharp books are following suit.

The Sagarin Ratings suggest this line should be closer to -6.5, so a 3 point overlay may be a reflection of Lebron James return to Cleveland playing for yet another team.  These types of overlays tend to act as less relevant indicators.

Cleveland has won eight of the last ten in this series but both teams have taken dramatic steps in opposite directions, mostly a result of the Lebron move.

Here is yet another reason why the Sagarin Ratings won't matter much here:

From ESPN.com: "We know the backstory of Lebron James' return to the city he just led to the NBA Finals. However, this franchise is rebuilding and the atmosphere will not mirror the hostility and tension we have seen in similar situations. Cleveland is experiencing plenty of issues, having already replaced its head coach, lost All-Star Kevin Love to injury and experienced J.R. Smith requesting a trade this week. On the court, the Cavs rank dead last in defensive efficiency and opponents' field goal percentage. I expect an up-tempo game where the Lakers overwhelm the Cavaliers with talent."

Our Record So Far

2018-19 NBA Record: 0-1 (0%)

2018 MLB Record: 45-35 (56.2%)

2018 NBA Record: 12-4-1 (75%)

- Tyrone Black, Gambling911.com