American Idol Shows Signs of Over Saturation

There is concern in recent weeks over plunging ratings for the Fox smash hit American Idol, now in its seventh season.  While still dominant in the ratings, the show has been losing significant viewership, and some of that might have to do with over saturation and expansion of the result show into a one hour format.

"The kids who normally watch this show have homework to do," says Payton O'Brien, Senior Editor of the Gambling911.com website.  "No time to be watching American Idol for this long a period."

The results show had been expanded to one hour from its past half hour format.

Audience declines for "American Idol" are steepest among youthful viewers, the people who set the pop culture agenda and are most likely to buy music made by the show's winners. These are not the people you want to turn off.

Another concern is the lopsided talent pool that became most obvious after Australian Michael Johns got booted off prematurely during "American Idol Gives Back" Week.

"Michael Johns had an edge so many people were looking forward to a Michael vs. The Two Davids showdown in the final three," said O'Brien, referring to David Cook and David Archuleta, both favorites to win.

Both Davids are far superior to the remaining two contestants: Jason Castro and Syesha Mercado, or at least it seems up until this point.  Many viewers have suggested they will wait to start watching again until the final airing, presuming both Davids will be there duking it out. 

Gamblers can bet either David at -110 odds for the most part, meaning you would have to wager $11 to win $10.  The original bet amount ($11) would be paid out only if the Idol you have selected wins.

Make no mistake, "American Idol" is still the biggest thing on television. It is the reason why Fox will end the TV season later this month as the nation's most-watched network for the first time in history, according to an Associated Press report.

The show is averaging 28.7 million viewers this year, according to Nielsen Media Research. That's down 7 percent from the nearly 31 million viewers who watched last year. It's also typical — maybe better than typical: in this writers strike-marred season, "CSI: Crime Scene Investigation" has shed 19 percent of its viewers, "Grey's Anatomy" is down 20 percent and "Survivor" is off 9 percent from last spring's edition.

"We're not in denial that the ratings are down," said Preston Beckman, Fox's chief scheduling executive. "There are things that we can control, and there are things that we can't control. I defy anyone to show you a hit show that has been on for seven seasons that is at the level this one is on relative to where it started."

Likewise, for the Gambling911.com website, which is the authority when it comes to American Idol betting news, traffic has never been better.

But changes are likely in the next season. 

"American Idol" needs no such overhaul. But the slippage has been noted and will be responded to, said the Fox executives.

"We've never been apathetic about the show, nor have the producers," Darnell said. "Every year there have been changes."


 

 

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