2019 Women’s World Cup Final Betting Preview – USA vs. Netherlands

Written by:
Phil Simon
Published on:

Team USA was expected to be here and they survived through the knockout rounds winning all three games by identical 2-1 scores. USWNT is one win away from a second straight World Cup title and fourth overall with upstart Netherlands standing in their way.

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Playing their first World Cup final won’t be overwhelming for the Netherlands, with their win over Sweden in the semifinals their 12th straight at a major tournament. The European champions are huge underdogs on Sunday, but they know how to win big games.

USA vs. Netherlands

Date and Time: Sunday, July 7, 2019, 11 a.m. ET

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon, France

Opening World Cup Odds: USA -240, Netherlands +675, Draw +340, O/U 2.5

USA vs. Netherlands TV Coverage: FOX

Team USA has been criticized for their perceived arrogance in this World Cup, but the Red, White and Blue has backed it up with solid play on the pitch. The Americans waltzed past Sweden, Chile and Thailand in group play scoring 18 goals in the process. Of course, 13 of those came against Thailand, showing the ruthless nature of the USA women.

Things were much tighter in the knockout stages, but the talent and depth of the USA squad proved too much. Playing without Megan Rapinoe in the semis due to injury could have been a major setback, not for USWNT. Making the start in place of Rapinoe, Christen Press showed the team’s depth by marking England’s Lucy Bronze and scoring the first goal of the game on a spectacular header.

Good news for the Americans is that Rapinoe has claimed herself fit to play on Sunday. Better news is that their bench is more solid with Press and a host of other talented players ready to chip in. “It you want to go far in this tournament you’ve got to have fresh legs,” coach Jill Ellis said. She’s used her full complement of players, prompting defender Ali Krieger to say, “We have the best team in the world, and the second-best team in the world.”

Reaching the final was more of a battle for the Netherlands, getting an extra time goal from Jackie Groenen to advance past Sweden, 1-0. Goalkeeper Sari van Veenendaal got her second straight clean sheet and the Dutch outscored opponents 5-1 in the knockout rounds. Stamina will be a huge factor in Sunday’s matchup. The Dutch played 120 grueling minutes in the semis and have one less day of rest than the U.S. And they aren’t nearly as deep.

In a surprising move against Sweden, Netherlands coach Sarina Wiegman benched star forward Shanice van de Sanden, who started each of the previous five matches but had only one goal and one assist. “Shanice got the message,” the coach said afterwards. Entering in the 71st minute, van de Sanden engaged the crowd, but didn’t score. The time off could serve her and the Dutch well for Sunday’s final.

Key Injuries

Rapinoe’s five goals have her one off the tournament lead and she’s been a key performer in the success of the team. Rapinoe was listed as a sub against England, but didn’t play due to a hamstring injury. She claimed to be fit for the final and an additional day off should help her recovery. But, hammy’s are a tricky injury and if she does play, how effective will she be? The team’s depth could be tested again.

The Netherlands has injury issues as well. Lieke Martens, the 2017 FIFA player of the year, hasn’t been productive during the World Cup and is dealing with a toe injury that forced her out of the semifinal match at halftime. The Dutch don’t have the depth of the USWNT and the absence of Martens will be significant.

Bet USA vs. Netherlands at BookMaker.eu

The Americans had one thing on their to-do list when they came to France and that was to win the World Cup. They are one victory away from reaching their goal and I don’t see this squad having a letdown. The depth is embarrassing and Krieger is probably correct in her assessment. Playing without their leader, the USWNT had the better chances and got a game-saving stop from keeper Alyssa Naeher in the semis. Six players have scored multiple goals and the attack is relentless. I can’t see the Netherlands finding enough time to counter and that makes it difficult to score.

World Cup Score Prediction: USA 3, Netherlands 1

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