AOL users split on hurricane betting

54% say hurricane betting is allright; only 7% of those AOL users who voted have placed a bet online


American Online asked Friday morning if it is wrong to bet on where storms will hit?

With a total of 14,308 votes tallied just after 8 am EST, some 54% said it is not wrong.  The other 46% had voted that it is. 

"We had to wrestle with it," BetCRIS.com (See Web Site Here) CEO, Mickey Richardson, told the Miami Herald earlier this week.  "Some people view it as a morbid thing to offer.  But we can't stop hurricanes.  There's been true interest in it from the public.

WagerWeb.com (See Web Site Here) CEO Dave Johnson concurs.

"We wrote a total of close to 1,000 wagers (on hurricane betting)," Johnson confirmed. 

That is 1,000 more wagers than would have been written during an ordinary baseball season, which is traditionally a nonevent in the world of sports wagering.  And these bets were taken prior to the 2006 Hurricane season even getting underway.  By industry standards, this is already a highly successful offering. 

The press this has generated will continue to fuel hurricane betting as well.

"The concept of offering hurricane betting is much the same as the media offering nonstop coverage of approaching hurricanes and placing all their top reporters smack dab in the middle of these storms when winds are hitting 100 miles per hour and up," commented Christopher Costigan, President of Gambling911.com.  "The public is fascinated by hurricanes the same way they are with a good Hollywood film.  And just like a good Hollywood film, most of us want to see a happy ending.  Suggesting that online gambling websites look to profit off of a hurricane's destruction is a little far fetched.  No online gambling websites I am aware of promote odds on deaths or damages."

"I'm not looking to profit off destruction, believe me," said Richardson. "I guess there's a thin line between what's appropriate and what's not and I'm trying to stay in that gray area without offending people."

Based on the AOL voting, this would most certainly appear to be the case.

It should also be pointed out that the multi-billion dollar online gambling industry was among the first to contribute aid to Hurricane Katrina relief. A number of these companies contributed a percentage of profit to these efforts.

 
 
 

 

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The intensity of the last two Atlantic hurricane seasons has triggered a mini-frenzy this year of storm-related bets online, where gamblers can make so-called "proposition wagers" on anything ranging from "will life be found on Mars?" to "who will win the next presidential election?"

"Betting is funny.  If there's enough things in the news, people want to bet on them," Johnson told Michael Christie, Reuters.

The average hurricane wager has come in around $25, which is typical for these types of proposition bets, including such offerings as American Idol and Sopranos betting odds. 

And media reports have helped to create dramatic line movements as well, according to Johnson.

"When Wagerweb released the odds we were writing 3 to 1 money on the 'Over' (Over 21.5 named Storms/Hurricanes, Over 10.5 Hurricanes (74+mph). 
However, when National Weather Service announced that there would be 15-16 named storms a whbole lot of money came back in on the under.  That's the main reason our current odds are 21 under -160, 10.5 under -160.

"It shows a good example of how people bet based on the media. The weeks
heading up to the National Weather Service predictions were doomsday and
people bet 'over'. The days since people have been betting under more
frequently.

"The numbers we handicapped were very high compared to season averages. We opened them high because we knew the media would fuel the story and people would react with betting 'over'. I woul d have to assume the 'under' money being played is from sharper players who realized Wagerweb.com inflation of the numbers was done expecting 'over' money to be played."

The AOL survey also revealed one more startling result that demonstrates the online gambling industry is still relatively untapped despite taking in billions of dollars. 

Only 7% of the 14,284 people who had voted by 8:00 am EST Friday morning said they bet online.

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Gambling911.com News Wire

Originally published June 2, 2006 8:47 am EST