Kentucky Derby: Cause to Believe and Point Determined show promise at nice payout odds

Fox Sports released its 2006 Kentucky Derby previews and picks, with Lawyer Ron among its favorites,  but Lawyer Ron does not offer the payout odds of a Point Determined (12 to 1) or a Cause to Believe (paying 50 to 1 odds).  These were two other horses that Fox Sports highly recommended. 

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Each way betting available (click on to place 2 bets, one with the selection to win and one with the selection to come in first 3 at 1/4 of the odds).

Point Determined (Pays 12 to 1 Odds) - This one has dropped to 8 to 1 just minutes before post time)

Here's Bob Baffert's best chance at Derby win No. 4, based on his strong runner-up try in the Santa Anita Derby and forward-moving campaign. Point Determined is a son of 2002 Horse of the Year Point Given, who won the Preakness, Belmont, Haskell and Travers after finishing fifth in the Derby as the favorite. Point Given raced only twice before the Derby, however, and ran out of gas after a gangbusters move on the turn. His son has more foundation in the tank after making six starts since Dec. 26, 2005. He galloped out extremely well after the Santa Anita Derby when he was compromised by Brother Derek's leisurely merry-go-round on the front end. Jockey Rafael Bejarano likely will have a few Derby trophies on his mantle before the young Peruvian's career ends. This could very well be the first. He's a major league win contender at a mid-level price.

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Cause to Believe (Pays 50 to 1 Odds) This one went to 24 to 1 odds just prior to post time. 

At odds likely to be in excess of 25-to-1, late-running Cause to Believe is my choice as the best longshot play in Derby 132. A smooth mover on the racetrack, this Northern California-based horse already has beaten the likes of major 2006 prep winners A.P. Warrior, Sinister Minister and Wanna Runner. His disappointing effort in the Illinois Derby (when a distant third to Sweetnorthernsaint) could very well be attributed to a dull early pace that didn't suit his late-running style. If there's one thing for sure on May 6, it's that the pace will be brisk up front. For my money, he's the best closer in the field and will bring his supporters to their feet with a thrill turning for home.

Kentucky Derby Odds: Subject to Change